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Avalanche at Oilers
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
Edmonton Oilers
1
FinalTV ALT, SNW (JIP)·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Carl Soderberg's goal at 15:33 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.4 to 1.9; shots on goal were COL 28, EDM 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Mikko Koskinen stopped 12 of 13 (.923). Three stars: 1. Tyson Barrie (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mikko Rantanen (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    T. Barrie1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    M. Rantanen1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL21221006428
EDMEDM0901018127

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(6)
    N. MacKinnon (12), G. Landeskog (8)
    backhandxG 0.39win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:26
  2. COL
    C. Soderberg(6)
    T. Barrie (13), M. Calvert (3)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    15:33

2nd period

  1. COL
    A. Kerfoot(3)PPG
    C. Soderberg (5), S. Girard (6)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    5:06
  2. COL
    T. Barrie(1)
    M. Rantanen (20), N. MacKinnon (13)
    slapxG 0.16win prob +5 pts
    4-0
    10:56

3rd period

  1. EDM
    T. Rattie(2)
    A. Larsson (6), M. Lucic (4)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    9:20

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:14COLMatt Calvert · Trippingdrawn by Kris Russell2 min

2nd

  • 3:07EDMDarnell Nurse · Holdingdrawn by Carl Soderberg2 min
  • 13:57COLPatrik Nemeth · Slashingdrawn by Ty Rattie2 min

3rd

  • 10:56COLGabriel Landeskog · Interferencedrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 15:36EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Hookingdrawn by Gabriel Bourque2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalCOL goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Carl Soderberg, 1st 15:33 — COL 61% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.20Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.18L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.15L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.12C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.12T. Rattie · Goal · xG 0.11D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.11J. Khaira · Missed · xG 0.11D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.08R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.05D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04K. Brodziak · On goal · xG 0.03A. Chiasson · Missed · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03T. Rattie · On goal · xG 0.02M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.02M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.02J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.02T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.02K. Russell · Missed · xG 0.02K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.02M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.01J. Garrison · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.01
EDM1 G · 1.9 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsEDM
2.44 G
All situations
1 G1.9
1.53 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL58%42%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.28 – 1.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsEDM
28
Shots on goal
27
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
36
19
Blocked shots
5
10
Giveaways
10
7
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6E. JohnsonD000+100.00120—22:49
28I. ColeD000+110.02220—20:48
49S. GirardD011040.07120—20:42
4T. BarrieD112+220.20110—20:03
92G. LandeskogL011+210.163126019:12
29N. MacKinnonC022+240.391003018:52
96M. RantanenR112+210.60100—18:25
16N. ZadorovD000020.03110—16:42
34C. SoderbergC112+130.081103316:32
17T. JostC000020.17010015:33
12P. NemethD000000.00142—15:25
11M. CalvertL011+110.00002—14:22
13A. KerfootC101010.220206014:18
22C. WilsonC000020.28000014:00
83M. NietoL000000.07100—12:50
15S. DriesC000020.041106712:01
57G. BourqueL000-110.01310—11:49
91V. KamenevC000-110.020005009:57
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1S. Varlamov(W)27261.9631.89+0.8959:40

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).