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Anaheim Ducks at Dallas Stars

FinalTV FS-SW, PRIME·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-2. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Miro Heiskanen's goal at 4:53 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.9 to 2.1; shots on goal were ANA 25, DAL 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. John Gibson stopped 36 of 41 (.878), 1.1 goals below expected; Ben Bishop stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Jason Dickinson (2 G, 1 A), 2. Miro Heiskanen (1 G), 3. Ryan Getzlaf (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Dickinson2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    M. Heiskanen1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    R. Getzlaf2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA1511109225
DALDAL212319010541

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:58
  2. ANA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.20win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    8:17
  3. DAL
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    11:30

2nd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    3:09
  2. DAL
    snapxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    2-3
    4:53
  3. DAL
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    11:16
  4. DAL
    snapxG 0.14win prob +7 pts
    2-5
    18:06

Penalties

ANA 17 PIM·DAL 17 PIM

2nd

  • 3:09DALRadek Faksa · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Pettersson5 min
  • 3:09ANAMarcus Pettersson · Fightingdrawn by Radek Faksa5 min
  • 3:09ANANick Ritchie · Roughingdrawn by Esa Lindell2 min
  • 3:09DALEsa Lindell · Cross checkingdrawn by Marcus Pettersson2 min
  • 3:40DALMattias Janmark · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by John Gibson2 min
  • 3:53ANACam Fowler · Holdingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min
  • 12:04ANABrandon Montour · Embellishmentdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min
  • 12:04DALRadek Faksa · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
  • 12:42DALTyler Seguin · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Getzlaf2 min
  • 16:14DALRoman Polak · Roughingdrawn by Adam Henrique2 min
  • 16:14ANAAdam Henrique · Roughingdrawn by Roman Polak2 min

3rd

  • 1:34DALBen Bishop · Trippingdrawn by Pontus Aberg2 min
  • 7:03ANAJosh Manson · Holdingdrawn by Blake Comeau2 min
  • 11:34ANABrian Gibbons · Trippingdrawn by John Klingberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalANA goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Miro Heiskanen, 2nd 4:53 — DAL 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.24J. Dickinson · Goal · xG 0.19M. Heiskanen · Goal · xG 0.16V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.16J. Dickinson · Goal · xG 0.14J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.14M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.14E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.14T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.13T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.13J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.13E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.12J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.12J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.12R. Polak · Goal · xG 0.11J. Dowling · On goal · xG 0.11J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.10J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.10J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.10J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.08J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.08M. Janmark · Goal · xG 0.08D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.08J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.07T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.07M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.07J. Spezza · Missed · xG 0.07M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.06J. Dowling · Missed · xG 0.06T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.06C. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.06B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.06J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.05T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.04M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.04T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.04M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.04B. Comeau · Missed · xG 0.04T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Honka · On goal · xG 0.03M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.03E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.03M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.01T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL5 G · 3.9 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsDAL
2.12 G
All situations
5 G3.9
1.52 G
Even strength
5 G3.5
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA22%78%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.08 – 3.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsDAL
25
Shots on goal
41
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/3
Power play
0/3
17
Penalty minutes
17
27
Hits
13
20
Blocked shots
17
7
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
47H. LindholmD000-110.06320—27:07
4C. FowlerD000-130.26032—23:51
42J. MansonD000-110.06302—22:51
67R. RakellR011050.44170—20:51
15R. GetzlafC202040.292105320:48
26B. MontourD000020.21012—19:43
17R. KeslerC000000.004404716:16
28M. PetterssonD000-110.19005—15:13
46B. StreetC000-110.030005014:58
34S. SteelC000-210.030002314:53
48I. LundestromC000-220.100105014:36
7A. CoglianoC000010.05200013:22
64K. SherwoodL000-100.18300—13:07
14A. HenriqueC000-110.011026710:53
23B. GibbonsC000+100.00202010:48
2L. SchennD000-200.00200—10:46
20P. AbergL000-220.16200—10:27
37N. RitchieL011+100.00212—09:30
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)41365.8783.94-1.0660:00

Season series

DAL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).