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Anaheim Ducks at Dallas Stars

FinalTV FS-SW, PRIME·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-3. The Stars came back from three goals down. The Stars led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jamie Benn's goal at 14:01 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 32% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 4.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were ANA 25, DAL 51. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. John Gibson stopped 40 of 44 (.909); Anton Khudobin stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alexander Radulov (1 G, 1 A), 2. John Klingberg (1 G, 1 A), 3. Tyler Seguin (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    A. Radulov1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Klingberg1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    T. Seguin2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA21014011325
DALDAL01443017551

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.03win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:01
  2. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.31win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    13:28

2nd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    8:09
  2. DAL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +8 pts
    3-1
    11:14
  3. DAL
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    13:52
  4. DAL
    wristxG 0.05win prob +21 pts
    3-3
    14:01
  5. DAL
    wristxG 0.03win prob +20 pts
    3-4
    17:46

3rd period

  1. DAL
    snapxG 0.35win prob +6 pts
    3-5
    18:32

Penalties

ANA 6 PIM·DAL 4 PIM

2nd

  • 2:44ANABrandon Montour · Hookingdrawn by Devin Shore2 min
  • 6:25DALAlexander Radulov · Hookingdrawn by Hampus Lindholm2 min
  • 10:15ANAJakob Silfverberg · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Pitlick2 min
  • 15:48ANAJohn Gibson · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min
  • 18:28DALBrett Ritchie · Slashingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalANA goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Jamie Benn, 2nd 14:01 — DAL 32% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Faksa · Goal · xG 0.35B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.26J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.23J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.23J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.15V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.15T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.14J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.13T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.13C. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.13J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.13A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.12E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.12J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.11M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.11J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.11J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.11A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.10A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.08T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.08T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.07B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.07V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.07V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.07R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.06A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.06V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.06T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.06T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.06J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.06C. Carrick · Goal · xG 0.06B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.05J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.05T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Radulov · Goal · xG 0.04J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.04B. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · Goal · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.03J. Honka · On goal · xG 0.03T. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.03E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.03T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.03T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.03J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.02R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Honka · On goal · xG 0.01J. Honka · On goal · xG 0.01B. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.00T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL5 G · 4.5 xG · 60 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsDAL
1.93 G
All situations
4 G4.5
1.32 G
Even strength
2 G2.8
0.61 G
Power play
2 G1.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA18%82%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.88 – 4.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsDAL
25
Shots on goal
51
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/2
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
16
Hits
14
24
Blocked shots
15
13
Giveaways
11
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
42J. MansonD011+220.02100—25:13
47H. LindholmD022+110.07120—23:56
4C. FowlerD000-230.20090—23:40
67R. RakellR000050.43210—21:10
26B. MontourD000-210.06302—20:42
14A. HenriqueC101-110.091102919:45
17R. KeslerC000-120.191205919:32
33J. SilfverbergR101-140.13012—18:54
53M. ComtoisL011000.003002517:31
64K. SherwoodL101020.4631010015:31
7A. CoglianoC000010.1300010015:01
34S. SteelC011020.100104514:41
46B. StreetC000-100.000103313:56
2L. SchennD000-110.02120—12:22
48I. LundestromC011+100.000001711:39
28M. PetterssonD000000.00020—11:27
23B. GibbonsC000-100.00010009:23
24C. RowneyC000000.00000001:24
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)44404.9093.82-0.1840:00
30R. Miller6601.0000.30+0.3019:16

Season series

DAL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).