Skip to content

Minnesota Wild at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV USA, FS-N·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Minnesota Wild 5-0. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bryan Little's goal at 5:42 of the first period, which took the Jets' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals were close — MIN 2.2, WPG 2.4; shots on goal were MIN 30, WPG 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Alex Stalock stopped 15 of 16 (.938), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 30 of 30 (1.000), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Hellebuyck (30 saves, 1.000), 2. Jacob Trouba (1 G), 3. Dustin Byfuglien (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck30 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    WPG
    J. Trouba1 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    D. Byfuglien2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN09010011030
WPGWPG4130716526

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.04win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:31
  2. WPG
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    5:42
  3. WPG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.10win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    11:10
  4. WPG
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +6 pts
    0-4
    11:59

3rd period

  1. WPG
    slapxG 0.13
    0-5
    0:32

Penalties

MIN 4 PIM·WPG 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:31WPGJoe Morrow · Holdingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 19:06MINMarcus Foligno · Cross checkingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min

2nd

  • 11:03WPGBen Chiarot · Interferencedrawn by Kyle Rau2 min
  • 17:00WPGJacob Trouba · Hookingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
  • 19:24MINserved by J. Greenway · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalMIN goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Bryan Little, 1st 5:42 — WPG 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.19M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.13J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.12M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.11K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.11J. Armia · Goal · xG 0.10M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.10B. Tanev · Goal · xG 0.10M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.09A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.08P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.08B. Little · Goal · xG 0.07P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.07P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.07A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.07B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.07B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.06B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.05D. Byfuglien · Missed · xG 0.05A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.04B. Little · Missed · xG 0.04T. Poolman · Missed · xG 0.04J. Trouba · Goal · xG 0.04D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.04B. Little · On goal · xG 0.04T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.04J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.03J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.03B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.03P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.03J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrow · Missed · xG 0.02T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.01T. Poolman · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.01D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrow · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG5 G · 2.4 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsWPG
2.20 G
All situations
5 G2.4
1.90 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN47%53%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.18 – 2.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsWPG
30
Shots on goal
26
34%
Faceoffs
66%
0/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
14
Hits
30
10
Blocked shots
22
11
Giveaways
12
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24M. DumbaD000-310.04210—24:29
46J. SpurgeonD000-100.00000—22:38
25J. BrodinD000-330.05000—21:49
64M. GranlundC000-110.08010019:26
36N. SeelerD000-100.00120—19:13
9M. KoivuC000-130.130104517:57
12E. StaalC000-240.290004117:49
6R. MurphyD000020.10010—16:37
26D. WinnikL000030.10000—16:06
22N. NiederreiterR000-130.49300—15:43
18J. GreenwayL000010.28000—15:30
39N. ProsserD000000.03000—15:14
16J. ZuckerL000-220.18020—15:09
3C. CoyleC000-230.14000014:12
14J. Eriksson EkC000020.10200012:11
7M. CullenC000-110.111002011:55
17M. FolignoL000-110.01312—10:54
37K. RauC000-100.10210010:05
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Stalock16151.9381.59+0.5948:01
40D. Dubnyk(L)1064.6000.79-3.2111:59

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).