Jets at Wild 2-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

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Winnipeg Jets

▸2

Minnesota Wild

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Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Minnesota Wild 2-0. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Scheifele's goal at 19:32 of the first period, which took the Jets' chances from 47% to 62%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.8 to 1.6; shots on goal were WPG 28, MIN 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 30 of 30 (1.000), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Devan Dubnyk stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Hellebuyck (30 saves, 1.000), 2. Devan Dubnyk (26 saves, .963), 3. Mark Scheifele (2 G).

Three stars

★
C. Hellebuyck30 saves, 1.000
★★
D. Dubnyk26 saves, .963
★★★
M. Scheifele2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
WPG	17	012	19	228
MIN	011	010	09	030

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

M. Scheifele(2)
K. Connor (1), J. Morrissey (1)
snapxG 0.19win prob +15 pts
1-0
19:32

3rd period

M. Scheifele(3)EN
B. Wheeler (2), A. Copp (1)
backhandxG 0.93win prob +3 pts
2-0
19:49

Penalties

4 PIM·

2 PIM

1st

15:57Jacob Trouba · Interferencedrawn by Jason Zucker2 min

2nd

9:43Connor Hellebuyck · Slashingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
11:29Mikko Koivu · Hookingdrawn by Dustin Byfuglien2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: MIN

Biggest swing: Mark Scheifele, 1st 19:32 — WPG 47% → 62%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 1.6 xG · 42 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 3.8 xG · 46 att MIN

0 G · 1.6 xG · 42 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

3.81 G
All situations: 0 G1.6; 1.61 G
Even strength: 0 G1.3; 0.00 G
Power play: 0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

51%49%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.66 – 1.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

28
Shots on goal: 30; 52%
Faceoffs: 48%; 0/1
Power play: 0/2; 4
Penalty minutes: 2; 24
Hits: 19; 14
Blocked shots: 23; 3
Giveaways: 11; 8
Takeaways: 5

Box score

every player line

Winnipeg Jets skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
33D. ByfuglienD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	4	2	0	—	28:05
8J. TroubaD	0	0	0	+1	3	0.05	2	2	2	—	26:06
44J. MorrisseyD	0	1	1	+1	0	0.02	4	2	0	—	22:19
55M. ScheifeleC	2	0	2	+2	2	1.22	0	2	0	37	20:38
81K. ConnorL	0	1	1	+1	2	0.30	1	0	0	—	18:39
26B. WheelerR	0	1	1	+2	2	0.19	3	0	0	—	18:32
70J. MorrowD	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	1	0	0	—	17:59
29P. LaineL	0	0	0	0	3	0.30	2	0	0	—	15:59
7B. ChiarotD	0	0	0	+1	3	0.05	2	2	0	—	15:39
25P. StastnyC	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	67	14:30
9A. CoppC	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	100	14:12
27N. EhlersL	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	0	0	0	—	14:05
40J. ArmiaR	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	1	1	0	—	13:45
17A. LowryC	0	0	0	0	2	0.59	3	0	0	71	13:22
18B. LittleC	0	0	0	0	2	0.75	0	0	0	14	12:33
13B. TanevL	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	0	0	—	11:40
52J. RoslovicC	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	0	1	0	0	09:40
3T. PoolmanD	0	0	0	0	3	0.05	0	1	0	—	08:17

Winnipeg Jets goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)	30	30	0	1.000	1.61	+1.61	60:00

Series

WPG leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Winnipeg Jets at Minnesota Wild

1st period

3rd period

1st

2nd

Box score