Minnesota Wild at Anaheim Ducks
Recap
written from the game dataThe Anaheim Ducks beat the Minnesota Wild 3-1. The Wild scored first; the Ducks answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ondrej Kase's goal at 16:04 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 52% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.6 to 1.4; shots on goal were MIN 27, ANA 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Ryan Miller stopped 26 of 27 (.963). Three stars: 1. Ryan Miller (26 saves, .963), 2. Ondrej Kase (1 G), 3. Josh Manson (2 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals2nd period
1-06:08
1-112:55
3rd period
1-216:04
1-317:47
Penalties
1st
- 15:39
Jason Zucker · Hookingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
2nd
- 0:53
Nick Seeler · Interferencedrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min
- 2:09
Ondrej Kase · Trippingdrawn by Carson Soucy2 min
- 5:16
Ryan Getzlaf · Trippingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
- 8:49
Jonas Brodin · Holdingdrawn by Derek Grant2 min
3rd
- 19:31
Francois Beauchemin · Trippingdrawn by Carson Soucy2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Ondrej Kase, 3rd 16:04 — 52% → 91%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.41 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.6
- 1.20 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.1
- 0.21 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.39 – 2.29
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 51%
- Faceoffs
- 49%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 20
- Hits
- 23
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 5
- Giveaways
- 10
- 3
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
ANA leads 2-1
3@
2OTFinal
3@
2SOFinal
1@
3this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
