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Wild at Ducks
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸3
Anaheim Ducks
2
Final/OTTV FS-N, PRIME·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-2 in overtime, Mathew Dumba scoring at 3:43. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Wild led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathew Dumba's goal at 3:43 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.7 to 2.4; shots on goal were MIN 31, ANA 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 26 of 28 (.929); John Gibson stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mathew Dumba (1 G), 2. Adam Henrique (1 G), 3. Brandon Montour (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Dumba1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    A. Henrique1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    B. Montour1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MINMIN082701214331
ANAANA112091601228

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    K. Roy(4)
    O. Kase (5), F. Beauchemin (5)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    9:17

2nd period

  1. MIN
    J. Zucker(14)
    M. Granlund (11), N. Niederreiter (4)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    14:49
  2. MIN
    Z. Mitchell(3)
    N. Prosser (1), D. Winnik (7)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +22 pts
    2-1
    16:58

3rd period

  1. ANA
    A. Henrique(7)
    C. Perry (16), B. Montour (10)
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +36 pts
    2-2
    13:35

Overtime

  1. MIN
    M. Dumba(3)
    C. Coyle (7), J. Zucker (10)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    3:43

Penalties

MIN 8 PIM·ANA 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:16MINRyan Suter · Interferencedrawn by Kevin Roy2 min
  • 11:05ANAChris Wagner · Hookingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min

2nd

  • 2:18MINChris Stewart · Slashingdrawn by Jaycob Megna2 min
  • 9:32ANAChris Wagner · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 4:29MINJonas Brodin · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
  • 11:23ANAKevin Bieksa · Hookingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 11:23MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Embellishmentdrawn by Kevin Bieksa2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalMIN goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Mathew Dumba, OT 3:43 — MIN 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.23A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.13O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.12A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.12R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.11L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.11K. Roy · Missed · xG 0.10R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.10A. Vermette · On goal · xG 0.10C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.10J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.08L. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.08R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.07C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.07K. Bieksa · Missed · xG 0.06C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.05K. Roy · Goal · xG 0.05R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.05O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.05A. Vermette · Missed · xG 0.05A. Vermette · On goal · xG 0.05R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.04O. Kase · Missed · xG 0.04L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.03C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.03L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.03C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.03A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.02K. Bieksa · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Vermette · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02F. Beauchemin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.01K. Roy · Missed · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.01A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.00F. Beauchemin · Missed · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 2.4 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsANA
3.73 G
All situations
2 G2.4
3.43 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN71%29%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.66 – 2.37

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsANA
31
Shots on goal
28
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
25
Hits
21
18
Blocked shots
12
11
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000-240.29332—30:26
24M. DumbaD101060.85450—30:04
25J. BrodinD000-110.02132—22:41
64M. GranlundC011+120.20100021:57
12E. StaalC000040.371006421:32
22N. NiederreiterR011-110.19210—19:23
3C. CoyleC011000.110005018:53
9M. KoivuC000020.550005718:47
6R. MurphyD000+120.06010—18:35
16J. ZuckerL112+240.47000—17:23
39N. ProsserD011+100.00120—13:20
26D. WinnikL011010.070206012:19
59Z. MitchellR101+110.17400—10:48
14J. Eriksson EkC000-100.00602009:49
4M. ReillyD000+100.01200—09:44
17M. FolignoL000+110.01000—09:36
10C. StewartR000020.33012—09:34
63T. EnnisR000000.00000—08:20
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Dubnyk(W)28262.9292.37+0.3763:43

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).