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Red Wings at Blue Jackets
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Columbus Blue Jackets

Final/OTTV FS-D, FS-O·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-4 in overtime, Pierre-Luc Dubois scoring at 2:55. The Blue Jackets came back from three goals down. The Red Wings led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pierre-Luc Dubois's goal at 2:55 of overtime, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 3.7 to 2.3; shots on goal were DET 27, CBJ 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Jimmy Howard stopped 36 of 41 (.878), 1.3 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Artemi Panarin (1 G, 2 A), 2. Pierre-Luc Dubois (1 G), 3. Cam Atkinson (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    A. Panarin1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    P. Dubois1 G
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    C. Atkinson2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DETDET391301203427
CBJCBJ1101202912541

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    deflectedxG 0.27win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:50
  2. CBJ
    S. Jones (39), A. Panarin (52)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    6:16
  3. DET
    D. Larkin (46), A. Mantha (23)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    11:12
  4. DET
    slapxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    3-1
    18:37

2nd period

  1. DET
    G. Nyquist(21)PPG
    snapxG 0.14win prob +8 pts
    4-1
    0:31
  2. CBJ
    S. Jones (40), A. Panarin (53)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +7 pts
    4-2
    10:50

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    4-3
    9:22
  2. CBJ
    A. Panarin(27)PPG
    wristxG 0.21win prob +34 pts
    4-4
    17:44

Overtime

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.09win prob +49 pts
    4-5
    2:55

Penalties

DET 10 PIM·CBJ 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:18DETNick Jensen · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:00DETDarren Helm · Trippingdrawn by Boone Jenner2 min
  • 17:00CBJAlex Broadhurst · High stickingdrawn by Joe Hicketts2 min

2nd

  • 0:19CBJPierre-Luc Dubois · Holdingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 10:44DETDylan Larkin · Slashingdrawn by Boone Jenner2 min
  • 12:20DETDanny DeKeyser · Trippingdrawn by Cam Atkinson2 min

3rd

  • 17:23DETDanny DeKeyser · Holdingdrawn by Cam Atkinson2 min
  • 19:06CBJMatt Calvert · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalDET goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Pierre-Luc Dubois, OT 2:55 — CBJ 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.25B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.23A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.21A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.18Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.17B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.16M. Letestu · On goal · xG 0.13A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.13B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.12M. Letestu · On goal · xG 0.12A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.10C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.10S. Milano · Goal · xG 0.09P. Dubois · Goal · xG 0.09Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.09A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.09A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.09O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.08C. Atkinson · Goal · xG 0.08A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.08O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.07S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.07C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.06D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.06C. Atkinson · Goal · xG 0.06C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.05S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.05P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.05R. Murray · Missed · xG 0.05O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.04O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.04O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.04O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.04A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.03T. Vanek · On goal · xG 0.03B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.02D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.02B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.02R. Murray · On goal · xG 0.02D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dubinsky · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01T. Vanek · On goal · xG 0.01R. Murray · On goal · xG 0.01J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Vanek · On goal · xG 0.01O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01T. Vanek · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ5 G · 3.7 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsCBJ
2.34 G
All situations
5 G3.7
1.42 G
Even strength
2 G2.9
0.92 G
Power play
3 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET28%72%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.28 – 3.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsCBJ
27
Shots on goal
41
46%
Faceoffs
54%
2/3
Power play
3/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
13
Hits
23
14
Blocked shots
13
5
Giveaways
9
10
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
83T. DaleyD000010.02110—24:09
71D. LarkinC011040.380125022:44
52J. EricssonD000010.0332010022:12
65D. DeKeyserD000+100.00024—22:08
55N. KronwallD011-110.00020—20:30
40H. ZetterbergC033+120.050005819:36
39A. ManthaR011010.03000—17:55
59T. BertuzziL202+130.87010—17:46
8J. AbdelkaderL011-120.16010—17:25
14G. NyquistR112050.2500010016:50
51F. NielsenC000010.081002616:28
3N. JensenD000+100.02212—16:21
2J. HickettsD000000.00320—15:39
72A. AthanasiouC000-210.031105014:03
43D. HelmC101+120.12002013:58
42M. FrkR000010.15100—11:35
77E. SvechnikovL000020.11000—10:35
41L. GlendeningC000000.001005005:21
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Howard(O)41365.8783.67-1.3362:55

Season series

CBJ leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).