Red Wings at Blue Jackets 2-3 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Detroit Red Wings

Columbus Blue Jackets

▸3

FinalTV FS-D+, FS-O·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Detroit Red Wings 3-2. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Seth Jones's goal at 1:45 of the second period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals were close — DET 2.5, CBJ 2.6; shots on goal were DET 24, CBJ 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Jared Coreau stopped 33 of 36 (.917); Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Seth Jones (2 G), 2. Boone Jenner (1 A), 3. Matt Calvert (1 G).

Three stars

★
S. Jones2 G
★★
B. Jenner1 A
★★★
M. Calvert1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
DET	110	07	17	224
CBJ	18	216	012	336

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

M. Calvert(8)SHG
A. Wennberg (21), D. Savard (9)
wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
0-1
15:33
D. Helm(9)
L. Glendening (7), L. Witkowski (1)
wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
1-1
15:54

2nd period

S. Jones(12)
A. Panarin (39), C. Atkinson (16)
slapxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
1-2
1:45
S. Jones(13)
B. Jenner (16), T. Vanek (25)
wristxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
1-3
8:15

3rd period

A. Athanasiou(14)
J. Abdelkader (19), M. Green (25)
snapxG 0.11win prob +8 pts
2-3
16:17

Penalties

4 PIM·

4 PIM

1st

13:41Ryan Murray · Trippingdrawn by Evgeny Svechnikov2 min
17:23Alexander Wennberg · High stickingdrawn by Gustav Nyquist2 min

2nd

10:10Nick Jensen · Holdingdrawn by Cam Atkinson2 min
12:29Niklas Kronwall · Slashingdrawn by Nick Foligno2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: CBJ

100%

Biggest swing: Seth Jones, 2nd 1:45 — CBJ 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

3 G · 2.6 xG · 46 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 2.5 xG · 34 att CBJ

3 G · 2.6 xG · 46 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.52 G
All situations: 3 G2.6; 1.92 G
Even strength: 2 G2.3; 0.50 G
Power play: 0 G0.2; 0.10 G
Shorthanded: 1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

46%54%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.38 – 2.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

24
Shots on goal: 36; 46%
Faceoffs: 54%; 0/2
Power play: 0/2; 4
Penalty minutes: 4; 10
Hits: 16; 14
Blocked shots: 13; 4
Giveaways: 5; 5
Takeaways: 13

Box score

every player line

Detroit Red Wings skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
40H. ZetterbergC	0	0	0	0	2	0.47	0	0	0	42	23:50
83T. DaleyD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	—	23:09
25M. GreenD	0	1	1	-3	1	0.01	1	1	0	—	22:21
14G. NyquistR	0	0	0	0	3	0.30	0	3	0	100	20:06
55N. KronwallD	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	0	1	2	—	19:24
65D. DeKeyserD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.02	1	2	0	—	18:59
59T. BertuzziL	0	0	0	-1	3	0.30	0	2	0	—	18:51
71D. LarkinC	0	0	0	-2	2	0.03	0	1	0	55	17:41
8J. AbdelkaderL	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	—	17:29
3N. JensenD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	2	2	—	16:50
52J. EricssonD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	—	16:11
43D. HelmC	1	0	1	+1	4	0.33	0	0	0	100	15:41
72A. AthanasiouC	1	0	1	+1	2	0.35	0	1	0	38	15:25
39A. ManthaR	0	0	0	-2	2	0.12	1	0	0	—	14:40
41L. GlendeningC	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	43	12:33
42M. FrkR	0	0	0	-1	3	0.42	0	0	0	—	10:10
28L. WitkowskiD	0	1	1	0	0	0.07	3	1	0	—	09:16
77E. SvechnikovL	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	—	05:25

Detroit Red Wings goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
31J. Coreau(L)	36	33	3	.917	2.64	-0.36	57:59

Season series

CBJ leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Detroit Red Wings at Columbus Blue Jackets

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

1st

2nd

Box score