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St. Louis Blues at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV FS-A PLUS, FS-MW·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the St. Louis Blues 6-0. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Richard Panik's goal at 3:51 of the second period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 69% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.9 to 2.2; shots on goal were STL 34, ARI 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Carter Hutton stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 2.9 goals below expected; Antti Raanta stopped 34 of 34 (1.000), 2.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Antti Raanta (34 saves, 1.000), 2. Oliver Ekman-Larsson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Luke Schenn (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    A. Raanta34 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    ARI
    O. Ekman-Larsson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    L. Schenn1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL01108015034
ARIARI112311210633

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    D. Strome (3), M. Domi (31)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    14:59

2nd period

  1. ARI
    C. Keller (40), D. Stepan (41)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    3:51
  2. ARI
    R. Panik (20), D. Stepan (42)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +6 pts
    0-3
    15:09
  3. ARI
    wristxG 0.12win prob +2 pts
    0-4
    19:40

3rd period

  1. ARI
    M. Domi (32), D. Strome (4)
    slapxG 0.03
    0-5
    11:59
  2. ARI
    M. Domi (33), D. Strome (5)
    wristxG 0.10
    0-6
    17:40

Penalties

STL 11 PIM·ARI 9 PIM

1st

  • 12:53STLOskar Sundqvist · Holding the stickdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min

2nd

  • 5:42ARILuke Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Chris Thorburn5 min
  • 5:42STLChris Thorburn · Fightingdrawn by Luke Schenn5 min
  • 14:27STLJaden Schwartz · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 18:44ARIDerek Stepan · Cross checkingdrawn by Dmitrij Jaskin2 min
  • 18:44STLDmitrij Jaskin · Slashingdrawn by Derek Stepan2 min

3rd

  • 6:35ARILuke Schenn · Interferencedrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalSTL goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Richard Panik, 2nd 3:51 — ARI 69% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.28C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.15C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.15J. Chychrun · Goal · xG 0.12O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.12O. Ekman-Larsson · Goal · xG 0.11R. Panik · Goal · xG 0.10Z. Rinaldo · Goal · xG 0.10B. Perlini · On goal · xG 0.08J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.07O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.07C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.07C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.06A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.06J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.06C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.05B. Perlini · On goal · xG 0.05C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.05C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.05B. Perlini · On goal · xG 0.04A. Goligoski · Goal · xG 0.03L. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.02D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.02M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.02C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.01N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.01N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Rinaldo · Missed · xG 0.01D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.00D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.00D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI6 G · 2.2 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsARI
2.90 G
All situations
6 G2.2
2.70 G
Even strength
5 G1.9
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL62%38%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.76 – 2.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsARI
34
Shots on goal
33
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/1
Power play
1/2
11
Penalty minutes
9
26
Hits
32
10
Blocked shots
20
7
Giveaways
6
9
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. EdmundsonD000-420.24110—27:23
27A. PietrangeloD000-420.27000—24:30
29V. DunnD000-140.07210—22:17
10B. SchennC000-110.204004320:07
17J. SchwartzL000-130.200025019:18
55C. ParaykoD000-120.07120—19:07
23D. JaskinR000-140.36202—17:19
49I. BarbashevL000010.011003316:28
20A. SteenL000-240.4600010016:27
71V. SobotkaC000-110.142103616:10
91V. TarasenkoR000-260.58000—15:43
28K. BrodziakC000-110.011107114:49
21P. BerglundC000020.185005014:30
39M. ReinkeD000010.04020—13:05
41R. BortuzzoD000000.00020—12:14
70O. SundqvistC000-300.002028311:16
22C. ThorburnR000-200.02405—09:49
9S. UpshallR000000.05100—04:46
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Hutton19154.7891.10-2.9036:09
34J. Allen(L)14122.8571.06-0.9423:51

Season series

ARI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).