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Utah Mammoth at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the St. Louis Blues 5-2. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Christian Dvorak's goal at 4:02 of the first period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 58% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 3.2 to 1.6; shots on goal were ARI 44, STL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Antti Raanta stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Jake Allen stopped 30 of 32 (.938). Three stars: 1. Christian Dvorak (2 G), 2. Clayton Keller (2 A), 3. Christian Fischer (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    C. Dvorak2 G
  2. ★★
    ARI
    C. Keller2 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    C. Fischer1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI42318013544
STLSTL0718112227

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:53
  2. ARI
    J. Demers (13), C. Keller (21)
    tip-inxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    4:02
  3. ARI
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    3-0
    7:06
  4. ARI
    wristxG 0.01win prob +7 pts
    4-0
    13:15

2nd period

  1. ARI
    C. Fischer(13)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +2 pts
    5-0
    4:33
  2. STL
    B. Schenn(19)PPG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.04win prob +2 pts
    5-1
    9:27

3rd period

  1. STL
    A. Steen(9)PPG
    wristxG 0.13win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    9:44

Penalties

ARI 11 PIM·STL 11 PIM

2nd

  • 2:37STLPatrik Berglund · Slashingdrawn by Niklas Hjalmarsson2 min
  • 7:49ARIJason Demers · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Steen2 min
  • 14:00STLJoel Edmundson · Trippingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 18:07ARIChristian Fischer · Trippingdrawn by Patrik Berglund2 min

3rd

  • 8:32ARIChristian Dvorak · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:54STLKyle Brodziak · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Zac Rinaldo2 min
  • 10:54STLKyle Brodziak · Fightingdrawn by Zac Rinaldo5 min
  • 10:54ARIZac Rinaldo · Fightingdrawn by Kyle Brodziak5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalARI goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Christian Dvorak, 1st 4:02 — ARI 58% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Steen · Goal · xG 0.12V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.10A. Steen · Missed · xG 0.10V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.08T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.08A. Steen · Missed · xG 0.08C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.07V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.07A. Steen · Missed · xG 0.07A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.07P. Berglund · On goal · xG 0.06P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.06I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.05P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.04D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.04J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.03P. Berglund · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.02I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.01K. Brodziak · On goal · xG 0.01I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01P. Berglund · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01
STL2 G · 1.6 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsSTL
3.25 G
All situations
2 G1.6
2.84 G
Even strength
0 G1.0
0.41 G
Power play
2 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI76%24%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.06 – 1.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsSTL
44
Shots on goal
27
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/3
Power play
2/3
11
Penalty minutes
11
25
Hits
28
16
Blocked shots
17
5
Giveaways
5
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33A. GoligoskiD000+210.03050—21:29
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000+260.48010—20:30
4N. HjalmarssonD000020.08130—20:05
55J. DemersD011+210.04012—18:53
6J. ChychrunD011010.12100—18:43
2L. SchennD011+200.03320—18:16
48J. MartinookL000030.17010—16:35
16M. DomiC022+110.110005816:27
21D. StepanC000+150.230003316:18
15B. RichardsonR000000.000205615:28
25N. CousinsC000000.14210015:20
14R. PanikR011+110.0230010015:02
18C. DvorakC202+250.432026314:56
36C. FischerR112+140.50302—14:55
11B. PerliniL101+120.04300—13:59
8T. RiederL011+230.16200—13:00
9C. KellerR022+250.41000—12:58
34Z. RinaldoC101+140.18505012:16
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Raanta(W)27252.9261.59-0.4160:00

Season series

ARI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).