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Islanders at Devils
NHL

New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
3
New Jersey Devils
▸4
FinalTV MSG+, MSG+ 2·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the New York Islanders 4-3. The Islanders scored first; the Devils answered. The Devils led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Blake Coleman's goal at 18:58 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 69% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were NYI 30, NJD 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 0.8 goals below expected; Keith Kinkaid stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Taylor Hall (2 G), 2. Will Butcher (2 A), 3. Stefan Noesen (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    T. Hall2 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    W. Butcher2 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    S. Noesen1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI11211117330
NJDNJD115310010435

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    T. Fritz(3)
    B. Davidson (3), J. Tavares (47)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    1:15
  2. NJD
    S. Noesen(13)
    B. Coleman (11), W. Butcher (38)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    7:54

2nd period

  1. NJD
    T. Hall(35)PPG
    W. Butcher (39), K. Palmieri (18)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    0:41
  2. NJD
    T. Hall(36)
    S. Noesen (14)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    9:08
  3. NYI
    A. Beauvillier(19)PPG
    M. Barzal (59), B. Nelson (15)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    13:19
  4. NJD
    B. Coleman(13)SHG
    M. Mueller (4), M. Grabner (9)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +19 pts
    2-4
    18:58

3rd period

  1. NYI
    C. Wagner(7)
    J. Boychuk (12), N. Leddy (32)
    tip-inxG 0.16win prob +7 pts
    3-4
    16:21

Penalties

NYI 4 PIM·NJD 4 PIM

1st

  • 19:11NYIAnders Lee · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min

2nd

  • 11:22NJDPatrick Maroon · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Pulock2 min
  • 18:27NJDDamon Severson · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min

3rd

  • 5:28NYINick Leddy · Hookingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalNYI goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Blake Coleman, 2nd 18:58 — NJD 69% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Grabner · On goal · xG 0.29T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.17B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.16S. Noesen · Goal · xG 0.16M. Grabner · On goal · xG 0.14T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.14P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.14S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.13T. Zajac · Missed · xG 0.13T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.12P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.11M. Grabner · On goal · xG 0.11B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.11B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.10T. Zajac · Missed · xG 0.09M. Grabner · On goal · xG 0.08P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.07N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.07P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.07P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.05N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.05D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.04A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.04M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.04J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.04S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.04M. Grabner · On goal · xG 0.03M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.03J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.03D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.03B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.03M. Mueller · On goal · xG 0.02M. Mueller · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.02M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.02B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.02J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.02W. Butcher · On goal · xG 0.01A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01
NJD4 G · 3.2 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsNJD
1.83 G
All situations
4 G3.2
1.42 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI25%75%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.77 – 3.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsNJD
30
Shots on goal
35
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
31
6
Blocked shots
12
0
Giveaways
11
9
Takeaways
19

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
13M. BarzalC011-210.020006721:51
2N. LeddyD011020.10002—20:25
7J. EberleR000-110.24110—20:09
91J. TavaresC011-130.190005719:56
50A. PelechD000010.05100—19:03
6R. PulockD000-130.19000—18:48
88B. DavidsonD011+140.07110—18:23
27A. LeeL000-210.0400210017:40
55J. BoychukD011030.09110—17:33
56T. FritzC101020.190005017:10
72A. BeauvillierR101040.18000—16:28
29B. NelsonC011+100.002006716:03
21C. WagnerR101+110.163104215:03
14T. HickeyD000000.00200—15:03
16A. LaddL000020.17100—13:47
42S. MayfieldD000010.02010—12:13
52R. JohnstonL000010.04110—10:21
15C. ClutterbuckR000-100.00000—08:06
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1T. Greiss(L)35314.8863.20-0.8058:28

Season series

NJD leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).