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Islanders at Devils
NHL

New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils

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New York Islanders
1
New Jersey Devils
▸2
FinalTV MSG+, MSG+ 2·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the New York Islanders 2-1. The Islanders scored first; the Devils answered. The Islanders led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Palmieri's goal at 11:11 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 52% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 2.5 to 1.8; shots on goal were NYI 31, NJD 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Jaroslav Halak stopped 31 of 33 (.939); Keith Kinkaid stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kyle Palmieri (2 G), 2. Taylor Hall (2 A), 3. Keith Kinkaid (30 saves, .968).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    K. Palmieri2 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    T. Hall2 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    K. Kinkaid30 saves, .968

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI07111013131
NJDNJD011011211233

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. NYI
    J. Eberle(22)
    A. Beauvillier (10), M. Barzal (49)
    tip-inxG 0.23win prob +17 pts
    1-0
    3:55

3rd period

  1. NJD
    K. Palmieri(15)
    T. Hall (39), N. Hischier (28)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +28 pts
    1-1
    6:35
  2. NJD
    K. Palmieri(16)
    S. Vatanen (21), T. Hall (40)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +33 pts
    1-2
    11:11

Penalties

NYI 2 PIM·NJD 4 PIM

3rd

  • 1:06NYIJosh Bailey · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Keith Kinkaid2 min
  • 7:35NJDStefan Noesen · Hookingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 14:46NJDSami Vatanen · Slashingdrawn by Ross Johnston2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalNYI goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Kyle Palmieri, 3rd 11:11 — NJD 52% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Grabner · On goal · xG 0.34K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.19S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.16T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.16M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.13T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.13K. Palmieri · Goal · xG 0.13N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.13T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.11B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.11K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.10K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.08B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.07S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.07M. Grabner · Missed · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · Goal · xG 0.05M. Grabner · On goal · xG 0.04M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.03D. Stafford · On goal · xG 0.03A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.03S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.03M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.03M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.03D. Stafford · On goal · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.02B. Lovejoy · Missed · xG 0.02W. Butcher · On goal · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.01W. Butcher · Missed · xG 0.01S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.00B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD2 G · 2.5 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsNJD
1.81 G
All situations
2 G2.5
1.61 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI38%62%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.83 – 2.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsNJD
31
Shots on goal
33
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
34
Hits
34
15
Blocked shots
9
5
Giveaways
11
8
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2N. LeddyD000000.04220—23:12
50A. PelechD000020.05130—20:03
6R. PulockD000050.11320—19:26
55J. BoychukD000-130.07410—19:00
13M. BarzalC011+130.161002718:49
14T. HickeyD000000.02010—18:07
91J. TavaresC000-220.260106717:48
12J. BaileyR000-220.26102—17:30
7J. EberleR101+140.44200—17:29
72A. BeauvillierR011+100.000005017:00
27A. LeeL000-230.15300—16:59
16A. LaddL000000.00410—16:42
29B. NelsonC000030.122306316:24
28S. AhoD000-110.07200—15:28
56T. FritzC000010.02300012:25
53C. CizikasC000000.003006011:55
52R. JohnstonL000000.00010—10:59
15C. ClutterbuckR000020.04300—10:25
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41J. Halak(L)33312.9392.46+0.4658:19

Season series

NJD leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).