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Blues at Golden Knights
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
3
Vegas Golden Knights
▸4
Final/OTTV ATTSN-RM, FS-MW·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the St. Louis Blues 4-3 in overtime, Jonathan Marchessault scoring at 0:22. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Golden Knights led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Marchessault's goal at 0:22 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — STL 1.9, VGK 2.2; shots on goal were STL 24, VGK 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.9 goals below expected; Malcolm Subban stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Marchessault (2 G), 2. William Karlsson (1 G, 2 A), 3. James Neal (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    J. Marchessault2 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    W. Karlsson1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    J. Neal1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
STLSTL29071800324
VGKVGK261100911426

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    P. Berglund(13)
    A. Steen (31), K. Brodziak (18)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:54
  2. VGK
    W. Karlsson(41)SHG
    C. Eakin (16)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    6:18
  3. VGK
    J. Marchessault(26)
    A. Tuch (19), W. Karlsson (31)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    13:31
  4. STL
    B. Schenn(26)
    J. Schwartz (34), V. Tarasenko (32)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    16:09

2nd period

  1. VGK
    J. Neal(25)
    E. Haula (26), T. Tatar (14)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +21 pts
    2-3
    16:35

3rd period

  1. STL
    C. Thorburn(1)
    S. Upshall (12), O. Sundqvist (4)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +27 pts
    3-3
    6:14

Overtime

  1. VGK
    J. Marchessault(27)
    N. Schmidt (31), W. Karlsson (32)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    0:22

Penalties

STL 2 PIM·VGK 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:07VGKErik Haula · Trippingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min
  • 5:23VGKMalcolm Subban · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 9:12STLPatrik Berglund · Slashingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalSTL goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Marchessault, OT 0:22 — VGK 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.29J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.21W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.20J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.14P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.13J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.13J. Neal · Goal · xG 0.12J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.10W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.09R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.08R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.07R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.07W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.07J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.06E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.04E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.03C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.03C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.03P. Bellemare · Missed · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01
VGK4 G · 2.2 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsVGK
1.93 G
All situations
4 G2.2
1.33 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL37%63%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.53 – 2.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsVGK
24
Shots on goal
26
60%
Faceoffs
40%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
44
Hits
44
16
Blocked shots
19
7
Giveaways
18
9
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. PietrangeloD000000.00230—28:39
6J. EdmundsonD000+130.42550—26:28
55C. ParaykoD000040.11620—25:59
29V. DunnD000-100.00100—21:23
10B. SchennC101-320.201004720:31
17J. SchwartzL011-330.222003320:28
91V. TarasenkoR011-110.05400—18:45
20A. SteenL011010.0710010017:07
21P. BerglundC101+120.2132210017:07
28K. BrodziakC011+100.011006216:47
71V. SobotkaC000010.162207016:09
23D. JaskinR000000.00500—14:56
49I. BarbashevL000020.1750010014:52
41R. BortuzzoD000000.00020—12:51
9S. UpshallR011+120.06200—08:37
70O. SundqvistC011+110.020002508:03
22C. ThorburnR101020.22400—07:42
43J. SchmaltzD000000.00000—02:42
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(O)26224.8462.15-1.8560:22

Season series

VGK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).