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Blues at Golden Knights
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
2
Vegas Golden Knights
▸3
Final/OTTV ATTSN-RM, FS-MW·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the St. Louis Blues 3-2 in overtime, William Karlsson scoring at 4:36. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Golden Knights led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was William Karlsson's goal at 4:36 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.9 to 1.7; shots on goal were STL 49, VGK 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.3 goals below expected; Malcolm Subban stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. William Karlsson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Malcolm Subban (37 saves, .974), 3. Alex Pietrangelo (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    W. Karlsson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    M. Subban37 saves, .974
  3. ★★★
    STL
    A. Pietrangelo1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
STLSTL11801111505249
VGKVGK04280713322

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    M. Paajarvi(1)
    O. Sundqvist (1), K. Brodziak (1)
    wristxG 0.52win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    12:51

2nd period

  1. VGK
    R. Smith(2)PPG
    C. Miller (2), W. Karlsson (3)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    13:54
  2. VGK
    C. Miller(1)PPG
    B. Hunt (2), R. Smith (4)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    17:27

3rd period

  1. STL
    A. Pietrangelo(3)
    J. Schwartz (7), B. Schenn (5)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +37 pts
    2-2
    14:52

Overtime

  1. VGK
    W. Karlsson(1)
    R. Smith (5), B. Hunt (3)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    4:36

Penalties

STL 8 PIM·VGK 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:46STLserved by I. Barbashev · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 7:42VGKColin Miller · Slashingdrawn by Scottie Upshall2 min
  • 10:37VGKWilliam Carrier · Boardingdrawn by Scottie Upshall2 min
  • 10:37STLScottie Upshall · Roughingdrawn by William Carrier2 min
  • 10:37VGKWilliam Carrier · Roughingdrawn by Scottie Upshall2 min
  • 14:13VGKVadim Shipachyov · Slashingdrawn by Vladimir Sobotka2 min

2nd

  • 9:32VGKDeryk Engelland · High stickingdrawn by Alexander Steen2 min
  • 12:30STLScottie Upshall · Trippingdrawn by Vadim Shipachyov2 min
  • 16:49STLMagnus Paajarvi · Holdingdrawn by Cody Eakin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalSTL goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: William Karlsson, OT 4:36 — VGK 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.13B. Leipsic · On goal · xG 0.10W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.10W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.08N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.08D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.08W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.07W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.07T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.06W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.06R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.06R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.06B. Leipsic · Missed · xG 0.05D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.05W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.05V. Shipachyov · Missed · xG 0.05C. Miller · Goal · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.04C. Eakin · Missed · xG 0.04R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.04D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.03D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.03C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.03C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.02B. Leipsic · On goal · xG 0.02V. Shipachyov · Missed · xG 0.02P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.02W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Engelland · Missed · xG 0.01C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.01L. Sbisa · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.01
VGK3 G · 1.7 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsVGK
3.92 G
All situations
3 G1.7
2.92 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.70 G
Power play
2 G0.3
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL84%16%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.85 – 1.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsVGK
49
Shots on goal
22
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/4
Power play
2/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
26
Hits
18
9
Blocked shots
18
3
Giveaways
6
5
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. PietrangeloD101020.12010—27:47
26P. StastnyC000030.361007022:32
17J. SchwartzL011+130.2000010022:26
10B. SchennC011+150.774003021:58
55C. ParaykoD000050.15100—21:56
91V. TarasenkoR000+180.41000—20:46
6J. EdmundsonD000020.30220—20:30
71V. SobotkaC000-130.281006419:59
20A. SteenL000-130.082105019:42
29V. DunnD000+130.07010—19:10
4C. GunnarssonD000+120.05110—15:35
41R. BortuzzoD000+100.02210—14:28
64S. BlaisL000010.08400—12:17
9S. UpshallR000020.03424—11:03
28K. BrodziakC011+110.02100010:59
70O. SundqvistC011+140.412006010:35
56M. PaajarviL101+120.55002—10:09
49I. BarbashevL000000.011003307:54
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(O)22193.8641.67-1.3364:36

Season series

VGK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).