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Lightning at Rangers
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸7
New York Rangers
3
FinalTV NHLN-US, FS-F·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the New York Rangers 7-3. The Rangers scored first; the Lightning answered. The Lightning led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Killorn's goal at 4:33 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 45% to 63%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 6.2 to 2.7; shots on goal were TBL 50, NYR 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Louis Domingue stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Ondrej Pavelec stopped 43 of 49 (.878). Three stars: 1. Cedric Paquette (2 G, 1 A), 2. J.T. Miller (1 G, 1 A), 3. Alex Killorn (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    C. Paquette2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    J. Miller1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    A. Killorn1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL013215522750
NYRNYR18010213331

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    B. Skjei(4)
    P. Buchnevich (29), D. Desharnais (22)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    14:59

2nd period

  1. TBL
    C. Paquette(4)
    J. Miller (34), M. Sergachev (30)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    3:15
  2. TBL
    A. Killorn(15)
    A. Cirelli (6), V. Hedman (44)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    4:33

3rd period

  1. TBL
    J. Miller(22)PPG
    V. Hedman (45), A. Killorn (29)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    0:35
  2. TBL
    C. Paquette(5)
    C. Conacher (4), C. Kunitz (14)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +8 pts
    4-1
    1:53
  3. TBL
    B. Point(29)
    Y. Gourde (36)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +2 pts
    5-1
    2:38
  4. NYR
    F. Chytil(1)
    M. Zuccarello (36), K. Hayes (19)
    wristxG 0.31win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    8:14
  5. NYR
    C. Kreider(16)
    M. Zibanejad (20), J. Fast (19)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +1 pts
    5-3
    16:31
  6. TBL
    B. Point(30)EN
    Y. Gourde (37)
    wristxG 0.63win prob +1 pts
    6-3
    18:16
  7. TBL
    D. Girardi(5)PPG
    C. Paquette (4), C. Kunitz (15)
    wristxG 0.15
    7-3
    19:26

Penalties

TBL 27 PIM·NYR 17 PIM

1st

  • 16:53TBLSteven Stamkos · Boardingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 20:00TBLSteven Stamkos · Fightingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich5 min
  • 20:00NYRPavel Buchnevich · Fightingdrawn by Steven Stamkos5 min
  • 20:00TBLSteven Stamkos · Instigatordrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min
  • 20:00TBLSteven Stamkos · Misconductdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich10 min
  • 20:00NYRPavel Buchnevich · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min

2nd

  • 9:31TBLDan Girardi · Trippingdrawn by Jimmy Vesey2 min
  • 10:04NYRNeal Pionk · Interferencedrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 12:33TBLJ.T. Miller · Hookingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min
  • 12:57NYRVladislav Namestnikov · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Johnson2 min
  • 19:16NYRChris Kreider · Roughingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 19:16NYRChris Kreider · Roughingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 19:16TBLYanni Gourde · Roughingdrawn by Chris Kreider2 min

3rd

  • 4:05TBLChris Kunitz · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Spooner2 min
  • 18:44NYRVladislav Namestnikov · Interferencedrawn by Cory Conacher2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalTBL goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Killorn, 2nd 4:33 — TBL 45% → 63%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Chytil · Goal · xG 0.31C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.18R. Spooner · Missed · xG 0.14F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.14F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.13M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.13J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.12V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.12C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.10J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.10C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.09V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.09F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.09M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.08C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.08M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.07P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.07B. Skjei · Goal · xG 0.07N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.06N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.06C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.06M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.05P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.04R. Spooner · On goal · xG 0.04N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.03R. O'Gara · On goal · xG 0.03P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.03R. Sproul · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.02J. Gilmour · On goal · xG 0.02F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.01V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR3 G · 2.7 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsNYR
6.26 G
All situations
3 G2.7
4.64 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
1.02 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL85%15%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 5.40 – 2.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsNYR
50
Shots on goal
31
57%
Faceoffs
43%
2/4
Power play
0/4
27
Penalty minutes
17
19
Hits
17
11
Blocked shots
9
16
Giveaways
20
9
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6A. StralmanD000+240.07000—23:34
27R. McDonaghD000020.06220—23:01
77V. HedmanD022+250.68310—22:50
5D. GirardiD101-220.15212—18:47
86N. KucherovR000020.21100—18:17
17A. KillornL112+140.49000—17:50
21B. PointC202051.290004617:22
55B. CoburnD000+100.04310—16:50
10J. MillerC112030.410027516:33
71A. CirelliC011+130.150106015:15
9T. JohnsonC000040.700002513:52
98M. SergachevD011+150.30020—13:46
18O. PalatL000+110.3200010012:37
14C. KunitzL022+110.18202—12:30
37Y. GourdeC022010.14012012:25
91S. StamkosC000-110.3210196712:19
13C. PaquetteC213+260.535105312:16
89C. ConacherC011+110.18010011:56
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70L. Domingue(W)31283.9032.71-0.2960:00

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).