New York Rangers at Tampa Bay Lightning
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Rangers beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 2-1 in overtime, J.T. Miller scoring at 1:19. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.T. Miller's goal at 1:19 of overtime, which took the Rangers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.9 to 2.3; shots on goal were NYR 35, TBL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Henrik Lundqvist stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 33 of 35 (.943). Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (33 saves, .943), 2. Henrik Lundqvist (27 saves, .964), 3. J.T. Miller (1 G).
Three stars
- ★A. Vasilevskiy33 saves, .943

- ★★H. Lundqvist27 saves, .964

- ★★★J. Miller1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
1-018:34
2nd period
1-111:00
Overtime
2-11:19
Penalties
1st
- 12:49
Kevin Shattenkirk · Holdingdrawn by Gabriel Dumont2 min
- 17:32
Mats Zuccarello · Slashingdrawn by Victor Hedman2 min
- 17:32
Victor Hedman · Roughingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
2nd
- 9:38
Steven Kampfer · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Callahan5 min
- 9:38
Ryan Callahan · Fightingdrawn by Steven Kampfer5 min
- 10:01
Vladislav Namestnikov · Cross checkingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
3rd
- 3:01
JT Brown · Fightingdrawn by Steven Kampfer5 min
- 3:01
Steven Kampfer · Fightingdrawn by JT Brown5 min
- 3:01
Alex Killorn · Slashingdrawn by Jimmy Vesey2 min
- 5:04
Ryan McDonagh · Roughingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: J.T. Miller, OT 1:19 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.32 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.9
- 2.32 G
- Even strength
- 0 G2.3
- 0.10 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.5
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 1 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 2.90
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 35
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 54%
- Faceoffs
- 46%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/2
- 16
- Penalty minutes
- 16
- 18
- Hits
- 15
- 15
- Blocked shots
- 11
- 10
- Giveaways
- 7
- 7
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
