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San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues

Final/OTTV FS-MW, NBCSCA·Scottrade Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the San Jose Sharks 3-2 in overtime, Vladimir Tarasenko scoring at 2:33. The Sharks scored first; the Blues answered. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vladimir Tarasenko's goal at 2:33 of overtime, which took the Blues' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.3 to 1.5; shots on goal were SJS 24, STL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Aaron Dell stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.7 goals below expected; Jake Allen stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Vladimir Tarasenko (2 G), 2. Vince Dunn (1 A), 3. Alexander Steen.

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    V. Tarasenko2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    V. Dunn1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    A. Steen

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
SJSSJS18190700224
STLSTL171130913332

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    6:26
  2. STL
    C. Parayko (29), V. Dunn (18)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    17:43

2nd period

  1. SJS
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    7:07
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    12:03

Overtime

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.15win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    2:33

Penalties

SJS 2 PIM·STL 4 PIM

1st

  • 11:37STLJoel Edmundson · High stickingdrawn by Mikkel Boedker2 min

2nd

  • 6:21STLJoel Edmundson · Hookingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 11:05SJSTimo Meier · Trippingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalSJS goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Vladimir Tarasenko, OT 2:33 — STL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.19A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.15V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.15I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.13J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.12B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.11B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.10D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.10A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.09B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.08K. Brodziak · Missed · xG 0.08J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.08T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.08B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.07V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.07V. Sobotka · Missed · xG 0.07D. Jaskin · Missed · xG 0.06B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.06O. Sundqvist · Goal · xG 0.04J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02V. Sobotka · Missed · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.02P. Berglund · On goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.01V. Sobotka · Missed · xG 0.01K. Brodziak · On goal · xG 0.01R. Bortuzzo · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.00V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.00R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 2.3 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsSTL
1.52 G
All situations
3 G2.3
1.41 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.21 G
Power play
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS34%66%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.51 – 2.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsSTL
24
Shots on goal
32
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/2
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
12
Hits
26
19
Blocked shots
13
5
Giveaways
9
9
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9E. KaneL101030.360205725:03
44M. VlasicD000010.05020—23:56
88B. BurnsD022030.13010—23:35
61J. BraunD000-100.00020—22:31
8J. PavelskiC101040.281004420:46
39L. CoutureC000000.000106019:46
7P. MartinD000010.01020—19:26
48T. HertlC000010.012104719:08
50C. TierneyC000010.150104717:24
4B. DillonD000010.01530—17:00
68M. KarlssonC011+120.15210016:36
28T. MeierR000040.29002—15:23
89M. BoedkerL000-110.00110—15:18
62K. LabancR000010.05000—14:28
74D. DeMeloD000000.01010—13:30
42J. WardR000-100.0010010011:05
36J. HansenR000-100.00010—10:06
23B. GoodrowC000010.010005001:56
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30A. Dell(O)32293.9062.30-0.7062:17

Season series

SJS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).