Sharks at Blues 3-2 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

San Jose Sharks

▸3

St. Louis Blues

FinalTV FS-MW, NBCSCA·Scottrade Center

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the St. Louis Blues 3-2. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joonas Donskoi's goal at 12:05 of the second period, which took the Sharks' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 1.9 to 1.6; shots on goal were SJS 23, STL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 31 of 33 (.939); Carter Hutton stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mikkel Boedker (1 G, 1 A), 2. Logan Couture (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ivan Barbashev (1 G).

Three stars

★
M. Boedker1 G, 1 A
★★
L. Couture1 G, 1 A
★★★
I. Barbashev1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
SJS	012	36	05	323
STL	08	212	013	233

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

L. Couture(24)
M. Boedker (12), J. Braun (23)
wristxG 0.24win prob +17 pts
1-0
6:35
I. Barbashev(4)
K. Brodziak (11), D. Jaskin (9)
wristxG 0.05win prob +18 pts
1-1
8:23
J. Donskoi(11)
L. Couture (22), M. Vlasic (19)
wristxG 0.07win prob +20 pts
2-1
12:05
M. Boedker(12)
C. Tierney (16), J. Hansen (7)
tip-inxG 0.07win prob +18 pts
3-1
15:54
V. Tarasenko(24)PPG
V. Dunn (11)
wristxG 0.16win prob +13 pts
3-2
19:36

Penalties

6 PIM·

4 PIM

1st

4:08served by K. Labanc · Too many men on the ice2 min
18:21Scottie Upshall · Hookingdrawn by Danny O'Regan2 min

2nd

3:17served by K. Labanc · Too many men on the ice2 min
4:12Jaden Schwartz · Holdingdrawn by Jannik Hansen2 min
19:26Brent Burns · Trippingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: STL

Biggest swing: Joonas Donskoi, 2nd 12:05 — SJS 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

2 G · 1.9 xG · 42 att

←

attacks

attacks →

3 G · 1.6 xG · 32 att STL

2 G · 1.9 xG · 42 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

1.63 G
All situations: 2 G1.9; 1.53 G
Even strength: 1 G1.6; 0.10 G
Power play: 1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

44%56%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.55 – 1.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

23
Shots on goal: 33; 51%
Faceoffs: 49%; 0/2
Power play: 1/3; 6
Penalty minutes: 4; 13
Hits: 26; 19
Blocked shots: 13; 2
Giveaways: 6; 7
Takeaways: 12

Box score

every player line

San Jose Sharks skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
44M. VlasicD	0	1	1	+2	3	0.04	0	1	0	—	26:41
61J. BraunD	0	1	1	+3	1	0.03	3	3	0	—	25:24
88B. BurnsD	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	0	2	—	20:54
39L. CoutureC	1	1	2	+2	2	0.33	0	1	0	56	19:48
28T. MeierR	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	50	19:47
8J. PavelskiC	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	56	19:39
27J. DonskoiR	1	0	1	+1	2	0.17	0	0	0	—	18:05
50C. TierneyC	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	1	1	0	41	17:31
68M. KarlssonC	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	1	0	0	16:45
47J. RyanD	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	2	0	—	16:45
4B. DillonD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	—	15:14
36J. HansenR	0	1	1	+1	2	0.07	1	0	0	—	14:33
62K. LabancR	0	0	0	+2	3	0.14	0	1	0	—	13:52
74D. DeMeloD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	—	13:23
89M. BoedkerL	1	1	2	+2	3	0.56	1	2	0	—	13:02
23B. GoodrowC	0	0	0	-1	2	0.08	1	3	0	67	10:28
20M. SorensenL	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	—	07:32
65D. O'ReganC	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	0	06:33

San Jose Sharks goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
31M. Jones(W)	33	31	2	.939	1.87	-0.13	59:54

Season series

SJS leads 2-1

Feb 203@2this game
Mar 80@2Final
Mar 272@3OTFinal

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues

2nd period

1st

2nd

Box score