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Canadiens at Penguins
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV ATTSN-PT, SN·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Montréal Canadiens 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Derick Brassard's goal at 2:38 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 56% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.7 to 2.3; shots on goal were MTL 30, PIT 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Carey Price stopped 34 of 39 (.872), 1.3 goals below expected; Casey DeSmith stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Guentzel (1 G, 2 A), 2. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 1 A), 3. Derick Brassard (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    J. Guentzel1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    D. Brassard1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL1921209330
PITPIT216112211539

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    backhandxG 0.30win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:53
  2. PIT
    E. Malkin (50), P. Kessel (52)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    17:31
  3. MTL
    P. Byron (14), J. Benn (10)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    19:30

2nd period

  1. MTL
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    8:19
  2. MTL
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +21 pts
    3-2
    14:24
  3. PIT
    J. Guentzel (22), B. Rust (25)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +21 pts
    3-3
    15:02

3rd period

  1. PIT
    snapxG 0.16win prob +22 pts
    3-4
    2:38
  2. PIT
    P. Kessel (53), S. Crosby (55)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +6 pts
    3-5
    18:27

Penalties

MTL 11 PIM·PIT 11 PIM

1st

  • 1:19MTLBrett Lernout · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Derick Brassard0 min
  • 16:58MTLKarl Alzner · Holdingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min

2nd

  • 3:14PITJamie Oleksiak · Ps slash on breakawaydrawn by Brendan Gallagher0 min
  • 5:37MTLMichael McCarron · Fightingdrawn by Jamie Oleksiak5 min
  • 5:37PITJamie Oleksiak · Fightingdrawn by Michael McCarron5 min
  • 6:09PITJake Guentzel · Holdingdrawn by Jeff Petry2 min
  • 7:10MTLBrendan Gallagher · High stickingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
  • 10:39PITOlli Maatta · Hookingdrawn by Charles Hudon2 min

3rd

  • 1:05MTLArtturi Lehkonen · Hookingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 8:42PITSidney Crosby · Trippingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalMTL goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Derick Brassard, 3rd 2:38 — PIT 56% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.30D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.27C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.16D. Brassard · Goal · xG 0.16B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.16P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.15S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.14D. Brassard · Missed · xG 0.14T. Kuhnhackl · On goal · xG 0.13P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.13C. Hagelin · Missed · xG 0.12P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.12S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.12S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.09P. Hornqvist · Goal · xG 0.09P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.08S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.08K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.08P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.08C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.08P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.08P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.07D. Brassard · Missed · xG 0.06C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.06J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.05P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.05T. Kuhnhackl · Missed · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.05T. Kuhnhackl · On goal · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.04J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.04R. Sheahan · Missed · xG 0.03C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.03R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.03K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.02P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.02D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.02O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.01B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.01J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.01C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.00C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT5 G · 3.7 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsPIT
2.33 G
All situations
5 G3.7
1.52 G
Even strength
3 G3.0
0.60 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL29%71%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 3.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsPIT
30
Shots on goal
39
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/3
Power play
2/3
11
Penalty minutes
11
41
Hits
23
15
Blocked shots
18
6
Giveaways
10
7
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26J. PetryD000-110.10420—20:52
22K. AlznerD000-100.00112—19:50
28M. ReillyD000-110.01110—19:23
36B. LernoutD011+200.00120—19:08
27A. GalchenyukC000020.16000018:46
62A. LehkonenL000000.00202—18:33
58N. JuulsenD000-130.06610—18:08
92J. DrouinL101-120.271004318:03
11B. GallagherR011050.45302—17:51
8J. BennD011+220.03010—17:41
41P. ByronL011-110.10300—16:54
49L. ShawR000-140.332204716:11
25J. de la RoseL101+120.168005815:47
43D. CarrL000-130.36120—15:33
38N. ScherbakR101+120.26010—13:37
54C. HudonL011+100.00200—10:35
20N. DeslauriersL000010.03420—10:29
34M. McCarronC000010.022055008:33
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Price(L)39345.8723.68-1.3260:00

Season series

PIT leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).