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Penguins at Canadiens
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV NBCSN, ATTSN-PT·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Montréal Canadiens 5-3. The Penguins came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patric Hornqvist's goal at 12:24 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 48% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.2 to 1.7; shots on goal were PIT 39, MTL 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 1.3 goals below expected; Antti Niemi stopped 34 of 38 (.895), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Patric Hornqvist (2 G, 1 A), 2. Evgeni Malkin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Alex Galchenyuk (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    P. Hornqvist2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    E. Malkin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    A. Galchenyuk2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT211118210539
MTLMTL291407320

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:15
  2. MTL
    P. Byron(17)PPG
    wristxG 0.28win prob +10 pts
    0-2
    6:31
  3. PIT
    B. Rust (24), D. Brassard (23)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    10:05
  4. PIT
    E. Malkin (49), K. Letang (37)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    14:33

2nd period

  1. PIT
    E. Malkin(40)PPG
    K. Letang (38), S. Crosby (54)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    3-2
    10:30
  2. MTL
    D. Carr (10), J. Drouin (26)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +20 pts
    3-3
    12:57

3rd period

  1. PIT
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +35 pts
    4-3
    12:24
  2. PIT
    B. Rust(12)EN
    wristxG 0.72win prob +7 pts
    5-3
    18:07

Penalties

PIT 2 PIM·MTL 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:08PITJamie Oleksiak · Holdingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers2 min

2nd

  • 1:07MTLBrendan Gallagher · Interferencedrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min
  • 10:07MTLJeff Petry · Interferencedrawn by Carl Hagelin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalPIT goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Patric Hornqvist, 3rd 12:24 — PIT 48% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Byron · Goal · xG 0.28B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.15B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.13N. Deslauriers · Goal · xG 0.11B. Froese · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.07A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.07B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.07N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lehkonen · Goal · xG 0.06J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.06J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.06B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.05N. Scherbak · On goal · xG 0.05P. Byron · Missed · xG 0.05N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.04J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.04J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.04J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.03N. Juulsen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.01J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Lernout · Missed · xG 0.01J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.01A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.01A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.01K. Alzner · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL3 G · 1.7 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsMTL
3.24 G
All situations
3 G1.7
2.23 G
Even strength
2 G1.1
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT67%33%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.48 – 1.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsMTL
39
Shots on goal
20
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/2
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
27
Hits
29
16
Blocked shots
14
13
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD022+120.01020—22:58
87S. CrosbyC011-150.163006421:18
4J. SchultzD000+220.02010—21:02
71E. MalkinC112+310.091003320:05
2C. RuhwedelD000030.03220—19:04
62C. HagelinL011+120.04100—18:58
59J. GuentzelC000-140.47000018:57
8B. DumoulinD011+110.06030—18:40
6J. OleksiakD011010.06412—18:37
72P. HornqvistR213+2100.68310—18:07
3O. MaattaD000030.06320—17:54
81P. KesselR101+110.37000—17:41
43C. ShearyL000-110.13010—15:55
17B. RustR112+220.84010—14:19
19D. BrassardC011010.184105513:51
15R. SheahanC000000.001003310:28
34T. KuhnhacklR000000.00310—07:32
37C. RowneyC000000.00200004:11
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(W)20173.8501.66-1.3460:00

Season series

PIT leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).