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Panthers at Senators
NHL

Florida Panthers at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸7
Ottawa Senators
2
FinalTV FS-F, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Ottawa Senators 7-2. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evgenii Dadonov's goal at 2:15 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.5 to 2.1; shots on goal were FLA 39, OTT 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. James Reimer stopped 33 of 35 (.943); Mike Condon stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jamie McGinn (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jared McCann (1 G, 2 A), 3. Frank Vatrano (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    J. McGinn1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    J. McCann1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    F. Vatrano1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA213412114739
OTTOTT11111707235

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    C. Sceviour(9)
    M. Pysyk (11), M. Haley (6)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:36
  2. OTT
    P. Sieloff(1)
    J. Pageau (14), T. Pyatt (14)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    12:48
  3. FLA
    K. Yandle(7)
    J. Huberdeau (41)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    15:56

2nd period

  1. FLA
    E. Dadonov(23)
    A. Barkov (46), N. Bjugstad (28)
    slapxG 0.18win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    2:15
  2. FLA
    J. McCann(8)
    J. McGinn (11)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +10 pts
    4-1
    7:19
  3. OTT
    M. Gaborik(11)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +9 pts
    4-2
    13:52
  4. FLA
    F. Vatrano(5)
    K. Yandle (42), J. McCann (14)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +9 pts
    5-2
    16:13
  5. FLA
    N. Bjugstad(17)
    E. Dadonov (33), A. Barkov (47)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +3 pts
    6-2
    17:04

3rd period

  1. FLA
    J. McGinn(11)
    F. Vatrano (1), J. McCann (15)
    backhandxG 0.01
    7-2
    12:08

Penalties

FLA 4 PIM·OTT 2 PIM

1st

  • 10:06FLAMicheal Haley · Roughingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki2 min

3rd

  • 6:14OTTMarian Gaborik · Trippingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 12:35FLAMike Matheson · Trippingdrawn by Mike Hoffman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalFLA goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Evgenii Dadonov, 2nd 2:15 — FLA 63% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Gaborik · On goal · xG 0.18Z. Smith · Missed · xG 0.15M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.14J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.13M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.12A. Burrows · On goal · xG 0.09M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.09J. O'Brien · Missed · xG 0.08A. Burrows · On goal · xG 0.08M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.07C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.07M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.06B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.06M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.06M. Paajarvi · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Smith · Missed · xG 0.05M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.05C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.04B. Harpur · Missed · xG 0.04M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.04B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.04M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.04J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.04F. Claesson · Missed · xG 0.03P. Sieloff · Goal · xG 0.03J. O'Brien · Missed · xG 0.02A. Burrows · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.02C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.02P. Sieloff · On goal · xG 0.02M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.02C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.02M. Gaborik · Goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.01M. McCormick · On goal · xG 0.01J. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01F. Claesson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Harpur · Missed · xG 0.01P. Sieloff · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01B. Harpur · Missed · xG 0.01M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.00B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.00F. Claesson · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 2.1 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsOTT
2.57 G
All situations
2 G2.1
2.37 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA57%43%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.46 – 2.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsOTT
39
Shots on goal
35
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
19
Hits
20
20
Blocked shots
22
15
Giveaways
13
10
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19M. MathesonD000+210.01122—23:40
13M. PysykD011+330.04010—22:13
3K. YandleD112+120.10020—20:28
5A. EkbladD000+220.03110—19:16
12I. McCoshenD000+100.00310—17:25
16A. BarkovC022010.040104717:02
17D. MacKenzieC000+100.002005616:24
7C. SceviourC101+110.191305016:09
21V. TrocheckC000+120.133103515:45
62D. MalginC000+140.612102015:26
52M. WeegarD000+120.05220—15:24
18M. HaleyL011+110.08212—14:47
63E. DadonovL112+110.21000—14:36
90J. McCannL123+210.191003014:34
88J. McGinnL112+240.11120—14:04
11J. HuberdeauL011+120.16010—13:55
27N. BjugstadC112+140.3901010012:45
72F. VatranoR112+380.12000—12:09
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Reimer(W)35332.9432.11+0.1159:58

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).