Ottawa Senators at Florida Panthers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Florida Panthers beat the Ottawa Senators 1-0. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Huberdeau's goal at 1:36 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.7 to 2.4; shots on goal were OTT 38, FLA 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Mike Condon stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 1.7 goals saved above expected; James Reimer stopped 38 of 38 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Huberdeau (1 G), 2. James Reimer (38 saves, 1.000), 3. Mike Condon (37 saves, .974).
Three stars
- ★J. Huberdeau1 G

- ★★J. Reimer38 saves, 1.000

- ★★★M. Condon37 saves, .974

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
1 goal2nd period
0-11:36
Penalties
2nd
- 3:32
Erik Karlsson · Hookingdrawn by Denis Malgin2 min
- 8:31
Jonathan Huberdeau · Interferencedrawn by Cody Ceci2 min
- 12:21
Christopher DiDomenico · Slashingdrawn by MacKenzie Weegar2 min
3rd
- 7:25
Mike Matheson · Roughingdrawn by Johnny Oduya2 min
- 7:25
Johnny Oduya · Boardingdrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min
- 9:34
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · Slashingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min
- 18:49
Aaron Ekblad · Cross checkingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min
- 19:04
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · Interferencedrawn by Keith Yandle2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jonathan Huberdeau, 2nd 1:36 — 53% → 69%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.40 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.7
- 2.00 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.9
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.6
- 0.20 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.38 – 2.73
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 38
- Shots on goal
- 38
- 39%
- Faceoffs
- 61%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/3
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 13
- Hits
- 14
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 15
- Giveaways
- 20
- 10
- Takeaways
- 12
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 2-2
0@
1this game
5@
3Final
7@
2Final
2@
3OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
