Skip to content

Ottawa Senators at Florida Panthers

FinalTV FS-F, SN360·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Ottawa Senators 1-0. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Huberdeau's goal at 1:36 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.7 to 2.4; shots on goal were OTT 38, FLA 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Mike Condon stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 1.7 goals saved above expected; James Reimer stopped 38 of 38 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Huberdeau (1 G), 2. James Reimer (38 saves, 1.000), 3. Mike Condon (37 saves, .974).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    J. Huberdeau1 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    J. Reimer38 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    M. Condon37 saves, .974

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT07013018038
FLAFLA01211808138

Scoring

1 goal

2nd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    1:36

Penalties

OTT 10 PIM·FLA 6 PIM

2nd

  • 3:32OTTErik Karlsson · Hookingdrawn by Denis Malgin2 min
  • 8:31FLAJonathan Huberdeau · Interferencedrawn by Cody Ceci2 min
  • 12:21OTTChristopher DiDomenico · Slashingdrawn by MacKenzie Weegar2 min

3rd

  • 7:25FLAMike Matheson · Roughingdrawn by Johnny Oduya2 min
  • 7:25OTTJohnny Oduya · Boardingdrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min
  • 9:34OTTJean-Gabriel Pageau · Slashingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min
  • 18:49FLAAaron Ekblad · Cross checkingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min
  • 19:04OTTJean-Gabriel Pageau · Interferencedrawn by Keith Yandle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalOTT goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Huberdeau, 2nd 1:36 — FLA 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.22A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.16A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.16E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.14J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.13N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.13J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.13A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.09A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.09A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.09N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.09J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.08R. Vrbata · On goal · xG 0.08R. Vrbata · On goal · xG 0.07J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.07E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.06J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.06J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.06R. Vrbata · On goal · xG 0.06M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.05C. Brickley · On goal · xG 0.05J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.05C. Sceviour · Missed · xG 0.04A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.04A. Petrovic · On goal · xG 0.03M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.03K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.03D. Malgin · On goal · xG 0.02E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.02A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.02C. Brickley · On goal · xG 0.02R. Vrbata · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.02A. Petrovic · Missed · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.01D. MacKenzie · On goal · xG 0.01E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.01D. MacKenzie · On goal · xG 0.01A. Petrovic · On goal · xG 0.01A. Petrovic · Missed · xG 0.01J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pysyk · Missed · xG 0.01D. MacKenzie · On goal · xG 0.00M. Haley · On goal · xG 0.00M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA1 G · 2.7 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsFLA
2.40 G
All situations
1 G2.7
2.00 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT44%56%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.38 – 2.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsFLA
38
Shots on goal
38
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/2
Power play
0/3
10
Penalty minutes
6
13
Hits
14
14
Blocked shots
12
15
Giveaways
20
10
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD000040.20112—28:44
5C. CeciD000-180.58160—28:19
68M. HoffmanC000-130.3400010020:10
18R. DzingelC000010.13000019:04
19D. BrassardC000-110.061002518:32
61M. StoneR000-130.3802010018:14
95M. DucheneC000000.000003117:52
29J. OduyaD000040.08002—16:16
44J. PageauC000010.140446715:46
72T. ChabotD000010.02000—15:00
10T. PyattL000000.00110—14:38
67B. HarpurD000-120.01100—14:22
33F. ClaessonD000040.10500—14:16
14A. BurrowsR000020.05100—13:51
17N. ThompsonC000000.001003313:00
49C. DiDomenicoL000010.06002—08:47
78F. ChlapikC000020.22000007:59
13N. PaulL000010.05100—07:43
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1M. Condon(L)38371.9742.74+1.7458:31

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).