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Oilers at Hurricanes
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸7
Carolina Hurricanes
3
FinalTV FS-CR, SNW·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 7-3. The Hurricanes scored first; the Oilers answered. The Oilers led 6-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Yohann Auvitu's goal at 11:54 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 67% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.2 to 2.9; shots on goal were EDM 30, CAR 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Scott Darling stopped 23 of 30 (.767), 3.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 3 A), 2. Pontus Aberg (1 G, 2 A), 3. Sebastian Aho (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    P. Aberg1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM31331017730
CARCAR21411207333

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    B. McGinn(13)
    Unassisted
    deflectedxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:30
  2. EDM
    D. Caggiula(10)
    L. Draisaitl (41), P. Aberg (9)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    4:53
  3. EDM
    M. Benning(5)
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (19), C. McDavid (56)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    6:53
  4. EDM
    R. Strome(13)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.36win prob +15 pts
    3-1
    9:17
  5. CAR
    S. Aho(26)PPG
    J. Faulk (23), J. Staal (24)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    3-2
    14:54

2nd period

  1. EDM
    P. Aberg(3)
    L. Draisaitl (42)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +16 pts
    4-2
    1:32
  2. CAR
    T. Teravainen(22)
    S. Aho (33), E. Lindholm (24)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    4-3
    4:12
  3. EDM
    Y. Auvitu(3)
    L. Draisaitl (43), P. Aberg (10)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    5-3
    11:54
  4. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(23)
    J. Puljujarvi (8), Y. Auvitu (6)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    6-3
    15:37

3rd period

  1. EDM
    J. Puljujarvi(12)
    M. Lucic (23), R. Strome (20)
    backhandxG 0.14
    7-3
    13:06

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·CAR 2 PIM

1st

  • 14:12EDMIiro Pakarinen · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min

2nd

  • 5:57CARKlas Dahlbeck · Hookingdrawn by Jesse Puljujarvi2 min
  • 18:00EDMDrake Caggiula · Holdingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalEDM goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Yohann Auvitu, 2nd 11:54 — EDM 67% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.25T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.25J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.17T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.14T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.14J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.14J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.14E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.12J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.10V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.09E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.08V. Zykov · Missed · xG 0.08J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.08J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.08J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.07J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.07D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.07T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.07J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.07B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.07V. Zykov · On goal · xG 0.07J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.06H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.05J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.05B. McGinn · Goal · xG 0.04J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.04V. Zykov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.04B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.03P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.02J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stempniak · On goal · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01K. Dahlbeck · On goal · xG 0.01L. Stempniak · On goal · xG 0.00J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 2.9 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCAR
3.27 G
All situations
3 G2.9
3.17 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM54%46%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.15 – 2.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCAR
30
Shots on goal
33
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/1
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
19
Hits
24
9
Blocked shots
8
4
Giveaways
13
8
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000+100.02100—27:22
6A. LarssonD000+200.00400—25:46
83M. BenningD101+130.19520—20:08
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011040.430002519:10
97C. McDavidC011-110.100004018:38
4K. RussellD000+210.03020—18:08
29L. DraisaitlC134+440.260005716:13
46P. AbergL123+210.35000—15:46
91D. CaggiulaL101+310.24102—15:31
8T. RattieR000000.00000—15:30
18R. StromeC112+260.790003315:14
81Y. AuvituD112+210.16010—14:47
16J. KhairaL000010.133201714:21
98J. PuljujarviR112+340.20120—12:38
27M. LucicL011+220.2600010012:25
58A. SlepyshevL000000.00200—12:08
74E. BearD000+200.00100—11:57
26I. PakarinenR000010.03102—11:36
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(W)33303.9092.93-0.0760:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).