Skip to content
Hurricanes at Oilers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
Edmonton Oilers
3
FinalTV FS-CR, SNOL·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-3. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Milan Lucic's goal at 8:06 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 6% to 22%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.1 to 1.9; shots on goal were CAR 21, EDM 51. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Cam Ward stopped 48 of 51 (.941), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Laurent Brossoit stopped 16 of 21 (.762), 3.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Staal (1 G, 3 A), 2. Ryan Strome (1 G, 1 A), 3. Teuvo Teravainen (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Staal1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    R. Strome1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    T. Teravainen2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR380726521
EDMEDM015121215351

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    T. Teravainen(1)
    J. Slavin (1), J. Williams (3)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:20
  2. CAR
    T. Teravainen(2)PPG
    J. Faulk (1), J. Staal (1)
    snapxG 0.31win prob +12 pts
    2-0
    4:53
  3. CAR
    E. Lindholm(1)PPG
    J. Staal (2), J. Faulk (2)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +9 pts
    3-0
    18:40

2nd period

  1. EDM
    M. Letestu(1)PPG
    K. Yamamoto (2), C. McDavid (3)
    wristxG 0.41win prob +7 pts
    3-1
    17:11

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Staal(1)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.24win prob +8 pts
    4-1
    4:03
  2. EDM
    R. Strome(1)PPG
    J. Jokinen (1), K. Russell (2)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +6 pts
    4-2
    5:03
  3. EDM
    M. Lucic(1)
    R. Strome (1), R. Nugent-Hopkins (1)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    4-3
    8:06
  4. CAR
    J. Slavin(1)
    J. Staal (3), J. Williams (4)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    5-3
    10:36

Penalties

CAR 14 PIM·EDM 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:16EDMserved by K. Yamamoto · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 4:08EDMPatrick Maroon · Interferencedrawn by Marcus Kruger2 min
  • 5:18CARMarcus Kruger · Holdingdrawn by Anton Slepyshev2 min
  • 8:19CARJustin Faulk · Cross checkingdrawn by Brad Malone2 min
  • 17:54EDMZack Kassian · Interferencedrawn by Derek Ryan2 min

2nd

  • 3:00CARTrevor Carrick · Cross checkingdrawn by Anton Slepyshev2 min
  • 9:08EDMMilan Lucic · Slashingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min
  • 16:33CARserved by S. Aho · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 17:52CARHaydn Fleury · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 3:14CARJustin Faulk · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
  • 10:59EDMPatrick Maroon · Slashingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min
  • 17:24CARserved by J. Skinner · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalCAR goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Milan Lucic, 3rd 8:06 — EDM 6% → 22%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Letestu · Goal · xG 0.41K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.31B. Malone · On goal · xG 0.23C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.22R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.22I. Pakarinen · On goal · xG 0.21C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.17R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.14K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.13P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.12R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.10M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.10P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.09I. Pakarinen · On goal · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.09R. Strome · Goal · xG 0.08M. Lucic · Goal · xG 0.08Y. Auvitu · On goal · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.07M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.07R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.06R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.06J. Jokinen · Missed · xG 0.05R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.05K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.05A. Slepyshev · On goal · xG 0.04A. Slepyshev · On goal · xG 0.04J. Jokinen · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.04D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.04A. Slepyshev · On goal · xG 0.04O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.04J. Jokinen · On goal · xG 0.03O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.03K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.03E. Gryba · On goal · xG 0.03M. Letestu · On goal · xG 0.03M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Auvitu · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Auvitu · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.02R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.02A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02K. Russell · Missed · xG 0.02O. Klefbom · Missed · xG 0.02K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.02E. Gryba · On goal · xG 0.02R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Auvitu · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gryba · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gryba · On goal · xG 0.01I. Pakarinen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Letestu · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Auvitu · On goal · xG 0.01I. Pakarinen · On goal · xG 0.01P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.00A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.00R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.00B. Malone · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM3 G · 4.1 xG · 63 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsEDM
1.95 G
All situations
3 G4.1
0.82 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.52 G
Power play
2 G1.9
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR15%85%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.63 – 3.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsEDM
21
Shots on goal
51
39%
Faceoffs
61%
2/5
Power play
2/7
14
Penalty minutes
10
19
Hits
36
19
Blocked shots
15
7
Giveaways
15
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD112+320.19150—27:34
22B. PesceD000+210.02150—26:15
27J. FaulkD022010.01214—23:35
28E. LindholmC101+130.150303319:47
11J. StaalC134+210.242004517:48
49V. RaskC000000.002005716:53
5N. HanifinD000-110.03210—16:05
53J. SkinnerL000010.11110—15:54
7D. RyanC000000.051005015:50
42J. NordstromC000010.31010015:04
20S. AhoC000030.19100014:06
16M. KrugerC000000.002122514:04
86T. TeravainenC202+130.45200013:06
14J. WilliamsR022+110.00000—12:37
19J. JoorisR000020.16200—12:33
4H. FleuryD000000.00012—11:52
46T. CarrickD000010.02002—07:32
88M. NecasC000000.00000006:54
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Ward(W)51483.9414.12+1.1259:46

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).