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New Jersey Devils at Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV FS-W, MSG+·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the New Jersey Devils 4-2. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakob Silfverberg's goal at 6:37 of the first period, which took the Ducks' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.1 to 1.8; shots on goal were NJD 17, ANA 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Keith Kinkaid stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 0.9 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 15 of 17 (.882). Three stars: 1. Rickard Rakell (1 G, 1 A), 2. Ryan Getzlaf (1 G, 1 A), 3. Hampus Lindholm (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    R. Rakell1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    R. Getzlaf1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    H. Lindholm1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD061714217
ANAANA21707212436

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:14
  2. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    6:37

2nd period

  1. NJD
    T. Zajac (11), T. Hall (46)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    10:31

3rd period

  1. ANA
    slapxG 0.11win prob +10 pts
    1-3
    7:55
  2. NJD
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    2-3
    10:05
  3. ANA
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    2-4
    10:51

Penalties

NJD 6 PIM·ANA 10 PIM

1st

  • 10:32ANAOndrej Kase · Interferencedrawn by Brian Gibbons2 min
  • 19:25ANAAdam Henrique · Hookingdrawn by Sami Vatanen2 min
  • 19:52ANABrandon Montour · High stickingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min

2nd

  • 9:57ANAserved by C. Perry · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 12:30NJDSami Vatanen · Hookingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min

3rd

  • 7:29NJDJohn Moore · Cross checkingdrawn by Jakob Silfverberg2 min
  • 10:51ANARyan Getzlaf · Roughingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min
  • 10:51NJDPatrick Maroon · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Getzlaf2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalNJD goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Jakob Silfverberg, 1st 6:37 — ANA 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.30A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.19C. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.16O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.16N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.15R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.12R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.12C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.12B. Montour · Goal · xG 0.11R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.11C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.10R. Getzlaf · Goal · xG 0.10C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.08N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.08R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.08A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.08A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.08C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.07A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.07N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.06J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.06A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.06J. Silfverberg · Goal · xG 0.05J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.05H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.05J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.04R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.04F. Beauchemin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.03A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Kesler · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.02O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.02C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.01C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.01F. Beauchemin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.01C. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.01O. Kase · Missed · xG 0.01C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.00J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.00B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.00A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.00F. Beauchemin · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA4 G · 3.1 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsANA
1.82 G
All situations
4 G3.1
1.31 G
Even strength
3 G2.9
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD27%73%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.76 – 3.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsANA
17
Shots on goal
36
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/4
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
10
33
Hits
26
14
Blocked shots
13
9
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
45S. VatanenD011020.12012—25:52
9T. HallL011-110.09300—24:03
6A. GreeneD000000.00140—22:53
21K. PalmieriC101-150.63320019:38
28D. SeversonD000-210.02100—19:18
19T. ZajacC011-110.340104118:48
2J. MooreD000-210.04322—17:48
8W. ButcherD000000.14100—16:05
13N. HischierC000-100.001001415:39
40M. GrabnerL000-110.13100—15:35
12B. LovejoyD000010.00410—15:29
17P. MaroonL101010.09102—15:25
39B. GibbonsC000-110.0013010015:01
20B. ColemanL000000.048003014:45
23S. NoesenR011000.0000010013:07
18D. StaffordR000000.0030010011:42
11B. BoyleC000010.051005009:21
44M. WoodL000010.07100—05:51
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1K. Kinkaid(L)36324.8893.09-0.9159:14

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).