Anaheim Ducks at New Jersey Devils
Recap
written from the game dataThe New Jersey Devils beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-3. The Devils came back from two goals down. The Ducks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Stefan Noesen's goal at 15:53 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 52% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.1 to 1.9; shots on goal were ANA 24, NJD 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Ryan Miller stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.5 goals below expected; Cory Schneider stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Stefan Noesen (2 G), 2. Miles Wood (2 G), 3. Jesper Bratt (1 G, 1 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
1-06:44
2-010:30
2nd period
2-18:11
3-111:21
3-218:16
3rd period
3-35:49
3-415:53
3-519:53
Penalties
2nd
- 6:29
Josh Manson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 9:18
Hampus Lindholm · Holdingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
3rd
- 3:36
Jesper Bratt · Trippingdrawn by Cam Fowler2 min
- 13:02
Blake Coleman · Slashingdrawn by Ondrej Kase2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Stefan Noesen, 3rd 15:53 — 52% → 90%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.93 G
- All situations
- 4 G3.1
- 1.53 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.0
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.5
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.89 – 2.49
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 24
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 57%
- Faceoffs
- 43%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 12
- Hits
- 14
- 5
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 2
- Giveaways
- 5
- 6
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
3@
5this game
2@
4Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
