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New York Rangers at St. Louis Blues

Final/OTTV FS-MW, MSG·Scottrade Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the New York Rangers 4-3 in overtime, Brayden Schenn scoring at 1:02. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Rangers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Schenn's goal at 1:02 of overtime, which took the Blues' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — NYR 1.5, STL 1.6; shots on goal were NYR 20, STL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 2.4 goals below expected; Jake Allen stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Pietrangelo (2 G, 1 A), 2. Brayden Schenn (1 G), 3. Mika Zibanejad (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    A. Pietrangelo2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    B. Schenn1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYRNYR023110601320
STLSTL1161611011433

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    15:49

2nd period

  1. NYR
    J. Fast (15), C. Kreider (18)
    deflectedxG 0.19win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    0:42
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    2:24
  3. NYR
    N. Pionk (10), K. Hayes (16)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    12:07
  4. NYR
    wristxG 0.12win prob +18 pts
    3-2
    14:34

3rd period

  1. STL
    V. Dunn (14), J. Schwartz (30)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +26 pts
    3-3
    5:15

Overtime

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.13win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    1:02

Penalties

NYR 11 PIM·STL 9 PIM

1st

  • 2:11STLChris Thorburn · Fightingdrawn by Cody McLeod5 min
  • 2:11NYRCody McLeod · Fightingdrawn by Chris Thorburn5 min
  • 10:22NYRNeal Pionk · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:36NYRJohn Gilmour · Holdingdrawn by Nikita Soshnikov2 min

2nd

  • 13:11STLChris Thorburn · Trippingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min
  • 19:16STLserved by P. Berglund · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 3:38NYRPaul Carey · Slashingdrawn by Tage Thompson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalNYR goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Brayden Schenn, OT 1:02 — STL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Thorburn · On goal · xG 0.27B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.13A. Pietrangelo · Goal · xG 0.09D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.08V. Sobotka · On goal · xG 0.08B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.07T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.06B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.06V. Sobotka · Missed · xG 0.05T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.05N. Soshnikov · Goal · xG 0.04T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.03P. Berglund · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.03A. Steen · Missed · xG 0.03A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.03B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03P. Berglund · Missed · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02N. Soshnikov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · Goal · xG 0.02A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.02B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.02C. Gunnarsson · Missed · xG 0.02P. Berglund · On goal · xG 0.02A. Steen · Missed · xG 0.02N. Soshnikov · On goal · xG 0.02C. Thorburn · On goal · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · Missed · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01P. Berglund · On goal · xG 0.01P. Berglund · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.01K. Brodziak · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01N. Soshnikov · Missed · xG 0.01K. Brodziak · Missed · xG 0.00C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.00A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.00
STL4 G · 1.6 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsSTL
1.53 G
All situations
4 G1.6
1.32 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.21 G
Power play
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR47%53%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.47 – 1.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsSTL
20
Shots on goal
33
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/2
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
9
20
Hits
22
15
Blocked shots
17
4
Giveaways
4
7
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
76B. SkjeiD000-120.01210—24:31
44N. PionkD011+120.02302—22:12
93M. ZibanejadC202+120.422104621:24
18M. StaalD000+120.03130—20:44
25R. SproulD000-100.00110—20:12
17J. FastR011+110.102205019:11
20C. KreiderL022+110.25320—18:59
36M. ZuccarelloR101-110.15010—18:54
13K. HayesR011-120.180006017:51
89P. BuchnevichL011-110.04000—17:35
46R. O'GaraD000000.05210—17:09
23R. SpoonerC000000.0000010015:50
90V. NamestnikovC000-120.102003314:46
26J. VeseyL000000.00110—13:16
58J. GilmourD000-130.08002—13:05
51D. DesharnaisC000000.000005510:02
28P. CareyC000010.05022007:15
8C. McLeodL000-100.00105—04:33
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(O)33294.8791.62-2.3861:02

Season series

STL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).