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St. Louis Blues at New York Rangers

FinalTV FS-MW, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the New York Rangers 3-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Schenn's goal at 13:30 of the first period, which took the Blues' chances from 49% to 60%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.4 to 2.1; shots on goal were STL 23, NYR 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Carter Hutton stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Henrik Lundqvist stopped 20 of 22 (.909), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Hutton (32 saves, .970), 2. Brayden Schenn (1 G), 3. Mika Zibanejad (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    C. Hutton32 saves, .970
  2. ★★
    STL
    B. Schenn1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL270818323
NYRNYR11106016133

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.20win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    0:15
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.10win prob +9 pts
    1-1
    2:22
  3. STL
    B. Schenn(2)PPG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    2-1
    13:30

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.88win prob +5 pts
    3-1
    18:13

Penalties

STL 8 PIM·NYR 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:18STLJaden Schwartz · Hookingdrawn by Steven Kampfer2 min
  • 12:19NYRPaul Carey · Slashingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min
  • 19:08STLTage Thompson · Trippingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

2nd

  • 6:27STLKyle Brodziak · Holdingdrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min
  • 9:40NYRRick Nash · Slashingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min

3rd

  • 2:51STLVladimir Sobotka · Slashingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min
  • 4:25NYRRyan McDonagh · Holdingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min
  • 5:10NYRSteven Kampfer · High stickingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalSTL goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Brayden Schenn, 1st 13:30 — STL 49% → 60%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Grabner · On goal · xG 0.22M. Grabner · On goal · xG 0.19C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.11C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.10M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.10A. Cracknell · On goal · xG 0.09R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.08M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.08M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.07R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.07R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.07J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.06M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.06P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.05K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.05B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.05J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.05J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.04R. Nash · Missed · xG 0.04C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.04J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.04R. Nash · Missed · xG 0.04P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.03A. Cracknell · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.02S. Kampfer · On goal · xG 0.02P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.02R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02D. Desharnais · Missed · xG 0.02N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.02S. Kampfer · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR1 G · 2.1 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsNYR
3.42 G
All situations
1 G2.1
1.51 G
Even strength
0 G1.3
0.81 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL58%42%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.49 – 2.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsNYR
23
Shots on goal
33
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/4
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
24
Hits
34
20
Blocked shots
10
9
Giveaways
16
6
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. PietrangeloD011+110.01000—25:51
55C. ParaykoD000+130.06220—21:48
6J. EdmundsonD000+100.00150—21:27
10B. SchennC101+210.211104420:00
4C. GunnarssonD101+110.20110—19:43
26P. StastnyC011010.390007319:26
17J. SchwartzL112+231.1522210018:55
91V. TarasenkoR000020.24400—18:50
71V. SobotkaC011+110.0721210017:06
49I. BarbashevL000+110.17220—15:59
29V. DunnD000020.04020—15:05
9S. UpshallR000010.22310—13:36
28K. BrodziakC000010.011123612:38
41R. BortuzzoD000000.00100—12:07
56M. PaajarviL000020.50010—11:05
70O. SundqvistC000010.031001310:57
32T. ThompsonC000010.12102010:03
22C. ThorburnR000010.02210—08:20
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40C. Hutton(W)33321.9702.13+1.1360:00

Season series

STL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).