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Senators at Blue Jackets
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
1
Columbus Blue Jackets
▸2
FinalTV FS-O, TVAS2·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Ottawa Senators 2-1. The Senators scored first; the Blue Jackets answered. The Blue Jackets led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Markus Nutivaara's goal at 16:01 of the second period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 54% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 3.6 to 1.9; shots on goal were OTT 24, CBJ 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Mike Condon stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Markus Nutivaara (1 G), 2. Boone Jenner (1 G), 3. Sergei Bobrovsky (23 saves, .958).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    M. Nutivaara1 G
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    B. Jenner1 G
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    S. Bobrovsky23 saves, .958

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT1901005124
CBJCBJ11211508235

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    A. Burrows(5)
    J. O'Brien (1)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    12:16
  2. CBJ
    B. Jenner(10)
    T. Vanek (27)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    16:21

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    M. Nutivaara(4)PPG
    O. Bjorkstrand (26), N. Foligno (14)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +20 pts
    1-2
    16:01

Penalties

OTT 4 PIM·CBJ 2 PIM

1st

  • 8:43CBJBoone Jenner · Trippingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min

2nd

  • 6:22OTTThomas Chabot · Holdingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 14:23OTTMax McCormick · Roughingdrawn by Sergei Bobrovsky2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalOTT goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Markus Nutivaara, 2nd 16:01 — CBJ 54% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Vanek · On goal · xG 0.22O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.21C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.21A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.20O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.19T. Vanek · On goal · xG 0.18N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.17B. Jenner · Goal · xG 0.17P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.17B. Dubinsky · On goal · xG 0.15B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.15Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.13P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.12C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.12P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.11C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.11P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.10C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.08S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.08S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.07A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.05C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.05B. Dubinsky · On goal · xG 0.05M. Letestu · On goal · xG 0.04M. Nutivaara · Missed · xG 0.04M. Nutivaara · Goal · xG 0.04A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.03T. Vanek · On goal · xG 0.03R. Murray · Missed · xG 0.03A. Wennberg · Missed · xG 0.03M. Nutivaara · Missed · xG 0.02C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.02S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.02R. Murray · On goal · xG 0.02C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.02D. Savard · Missed · xG 0.01R. Murray · Missed · xG 0.01M. Nutivaara · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01T. Vanek · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.01P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.01O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.00P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ2 G · 3.6 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsCBJ
1.91 G
All situations
2 G3.6
1.81 G
Even strength
1 G3.2
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT21%79%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.83 – 3.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsCBJ
24
Shots on goal
35
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/1
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
23
Hits
17
18
Blocked shots
16
8
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD000+120.25020—26:46
5C. CeciD000000.01410—22:30
72T. ChabotD000020.17032—20:57
95M. DucheneC000000.090005020:14
33F. ClaessonD000+110.01500—19:13
68M. HoffmanC000-110.04000018:25
44J. PageauC000020.081105417:59
74M. BorowieckiD000-110.00410—16:52
56M. PaajarviL000000.00110—15:20
9B. RyanR000010.00220—15:01
18R. DzingelC000-110.09100015:01
15Z. SmithC000-130.171004514:37
12M. GaborikR000000.03000—14:07
10T. PyattL000020.14120—13:52
14A. BurrowsR101+120.16110—13:38
67B. HarpurD000-120.01120—12:32
40J. O'BrienC011+130.641205010:58
89M. McCormickL000+110.0300210009:27
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1M. Condon(L)35332.9433.64+1.6458:53

Season series

CBJ leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).