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Senators at Blue Jackets
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Columbus Blue Jackets

FinalTV FS-O, TSN5·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Ottawa Senators 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cam Atkinson's goal at 10:40 of the third period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 52% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 3.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were OTT 26, CBJ 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Craig Anderson stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.5 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Cam Atkinson (2 G), 2. Josh Anderson (1 A), 3. Markus Nutivaara (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    C. Atkinson2 G
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    J. Anderson1 A
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    M. Nutivaara1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT1418014226
CBJCBJ11511037532

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    10:56
  2. CBJ
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.33win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    11:22

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    snapxG 0.01win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    7:28
  2. OTT
    wristxG 0.13win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    9:00

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.03win prob +32 pts
    2-3
    10:40
  2. CBJ
    snapxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    2-4
    13:27
  3. CBJ
    wristxG 0.52
    2-5
    19:10

Penalties

OTT 4 PIM·CBJ 6 PIM

2nd

  • 0:26CBJBrandon Dubinsky · Hookingdrawn by Tom Pyatt2 min
  • 4:59OTTRyan Dzingel · Slashingdrawn by Boone Jenner2 min
  • 14:22OTTJean-Gabriel Pageau · Slashingdrawn by Nick Foligno2 min
  • 16:45CBJPierre-Luc Dubois · Hookingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min

3rd

  • 7:59CBJCam Atkinson · Trippingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalOTT goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Cam Atkinson, 3rd 10:40 — CBJ 52% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Motte · Goal · xG 0.52C. Atkinson · Goal · xG 0.33S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.21L. Sedlak · On goal · xG 0.15J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.14L. Sedlak · On goal · xG 0.13T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.11J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.09N. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.09B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.08J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.08R. Murray · On goal · xG 0.08J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.07B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.07B. Dubinsky · Missed · xG 0.06B. Dubinsky · On goal · xG 0.05B. Dubinsky · Missed · xG 0.05N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.05J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.04L. Sedlak · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.04L. Sedlak · On goal · xG 0.04C. Atkinson · Goal · xG 0.03B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.03N. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.03J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.02S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02J. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.01O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.01M. Nutivaara · Goal · xG 0.01B. Dubinsky · On goal · xG 0.01R. Murray · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.00O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ5 G · 3.0 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsCBJ
2.12 G
All situations
4 G3.0
1.62 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT43%57%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.12 – 2.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsCBJ
26
Shots on goal
32
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
23
15
Blocked shots
12
5
Giveaways
5
1
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD000-360.60120—25:35
5C. CeciD000000.05310—21:49
2D. PhaneufD000-120.04110—21:23
61M. StoneR011-140.30020—21:11
67B. HarpurD000010.02110—19:51
19D. BrassardC011-110.081005318:37
44J. PageauC000-120.111227818:04
68M. HoffmanC101-320.20000017:16
29J. OduyaD000010.00120—16:06
14A. BurrowsR000-110.06010—15:55
9B. RyanR000-110.17100—15:27
95M. DucheneC000-210.100006715:10
18R. DzingelC011-100.00102014:56
10T. PyattL101+120.240105014:43
72T. ChabotD000-200.00100—13:48
17N. ThompsonC000000.061107512:13
40G. DumontC000010.09310009:21
13N. PaulL000010.0220010006:21
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41C. Anderson(L)31274.8712.52-1.4858:14

Season series

CBJ leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).