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Stars at Senators
NHL

Dallas Stars at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
2
Ottawa Senators
▸3
Final/OTTV FS-SW+, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Dallas Stars 3-2 in overtime, Mike Hoffman scoring at 3:26. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Stars led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mike Hoffman's goal at 3:26 of overtime, which took the Senators' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — DAL 2.2, OTT 2.3; shots on goal were DAL 25, OTT 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Ben Bishop stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.7 goals below expected; Craig Anderson stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Mike Hoffman (1 G, 1 A), 2. Matt Duchene (1 G, 1 A), 3. Marian Gaborik (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    M. Hoffman1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    M. Duchene1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    M. Gaborik1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DALDAL19071702225
OTTOTT060621112325

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    T. Seguin(38)PPG
    J. Benn (39), A. Radulov (37)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    10:36

3rd period

  1. OTT
    M. Gaborik(10)PPG
    R. Dzingel (13), T. Chabot (14)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +22 pts
    1-1
    2:20
  2. OTT
    M. Duchene(22)
    E. Karlsson (47), M. Hoffman (29)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +41 pts
    1-2
    16:50
  3. DAL
    T. Pitlick(14)
    D. Hamhuis (19), J. Benn (40)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +44 pts
    2-2
    18:12

Overtime

  1. OTT
    M. Hoffman(22)
    M. Duchene (27), E. Karlsson (48)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    3:26

Penalties

DAL 13 PIM·OTT 7 PIM

1st

  • 10:25OTTThomas Chabot · Slashingdrawn by Antoine Roussel2 min
  • 11:13OTTMark Borowiecki · Fightingdrawn by Greg Pateryn5 min
  • 11:13DALGreg Pateryn · Fightingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki5 min
  • 15:05DALMattias Janmark · Hookingdrawn by Mike Hoffman2 min

2nd

  • 9:48DALDan Hamhuis · Trippingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min
  • 19:04DALTyler Pitlick · High sticking double minordrawn by Ben Harpur4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalDAL goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Mike Hoffman, OT 3:26 — OTT 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.22J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.18M. Gaborik · Goal · xG 0.17J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.14M. Hoffman · Goal · xG 0.12J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.11M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.11Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.11M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.09M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.08R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.07J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.07M. Gaborik · Missed · xG 0.06T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.06M. Paajarvi · Missed · xG 0.06R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.06C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.05M. Gaborik · On goal · xG 0.05M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.04M. Gaborik · Missed · xG 0.04M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.03M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.03J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Gaborik · On goal · xG 0.02M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01B. Harpur · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.01M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.00T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.00E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT3 G · 2.3 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsOTT
2.22 G
All situations
3 G2.3
1.91 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL49%51%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 2.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsOTT
25
Shots on goal
25
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/1
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
7
36
Hits
36
12
Blocked shots
13
7
Giveaways
8
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3J. KlingbergD000-110.15110—26:02
23E. LindellD000000.00120—24:35
2D. HamhuisD011010.01312—24:00
91T. SeguinC101030.603003823:24
29G. PaterynD000+110.00215—21:29
47A. RadulovR011030.17320—21:26
14J. BennL022050.123106020:55
12R. FaksaC000000.201104118:50
28S. JohnsD000-100.00210—17:40
13M. JanmarkC000-120.220023315:32
21A. RousselL000000.0420010015:15
18T. PitlickC101+150.31314014:59
17D. ShoreC000010.11100011:32
90J. SpezzaC000-110.150007010:56
6J. HonkaD000000.01110—09:57
40R. ElieL000000.05200—09:32
46G. SmithC000-120.06400009:03
16J. DickinsonC000000.004005008:33
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30B. Bishop(O)25223.8802.27-0.7362:48

Season series

OTT leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).