Skip to content
Senators at Stars
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
▸3
Dallas Stars
2
Final/OTTV FS-SW, TSN5·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Dallas Stars 3-2 in overtime, Erik Karlsson scoring at 2:41. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Erik Karlsson's goal at 2:41 of overtime, which took the Senators' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were OTT 30, DAL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Craig Anderson stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Kari Lehtonen stopped 15 of 18 (.833), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Craig Anderson (31 saves, .939), 2. Matt Duchene (1 G, 1 A), 3. Tyler Seguin (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    C. Anderson31 saves, .939
  2. ★★
    OTT
    M. Duchene1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    T. Seguin2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
OTTOTT012181911330
DALDAL1801511000233

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    T. Seguin(35)PPG
    A. Radulov (35), J. Klingberg (49)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    4:36

2nd period

  1. OTT
    M. Hoffman(19)PPG
    M. Stone (41), M. Duchene (23)
    snapxG 0.36win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    19:58

3rd period

  1. OTT
    M. Duchene(19)
    E. Karlsson (42), M. Borowiecki (6)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +29 pts
    2-1
    6:36
  2. DAL
    T. Seguin(36)
    M. Janmark (15), D. Hamhuis (18)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +44 pts
    2-2
    18:52

Overtime

  1. OTT
    E. Karlsson(7)
    B. Ryan (19)
    wristxG 0.30win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    2:41

Penalties

OTT 8 PIM·DAL 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:14OTTAlexandre Burrows · Holdingdrawn by Remi Elie2 min

2nd

  • 10:14OTTErik Karlsson · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 15:22DALGreg Pateryn · Holdingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min
  • 15:54OTTMike Hoffman · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Pitlick2 min
  • 18:35DALDevin Shore · High stickingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min

3rd

  • 9:10OTTMike Hoffman · Delaying game2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalOTT goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Erik Karlsson, OT 2:41 — OTT 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.18B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.16T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.15A. Roussel · Missed · xG 0.15M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.14J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.13A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.10D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.09J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.09A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.09A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.09T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.08B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.08J. Spezza · Missed · xG 0.07B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.07T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.06B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.06J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.06T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.05T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.05J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.05T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.04T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.04T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.04J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.04G. Pateryn · Missed · xG 0.04S. Johns · On goal · xG 0.03J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.03T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.03A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.03A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Honka · Missed · xG 0.02G. Pateryn · Missed · xG 0.02M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.02G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamhuis · Missed · xG 0.01T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.01T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.01G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamhuis · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL2 G · 2.6 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsDAL
3.13 G
All situations
2 G2.6
2.42 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.71 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT59%41%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.04 – 2.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsDAL
30
Shots on goal
33
38%
Faceoffs
63%
1/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
10
Hits
22
21
Blocked shots
23
8
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD112+250.34122—30:51
5C. CeciD000-130.12120—26:32
44J. PageauC000-120.280104324:55
61M. StoneR011-140.49120—22:53
9B. RyanR011+100.0211010017:47
68M. HoffmanC101+160.91004017:31
18R. DzingelC000+210.08000017:18
74M. BorowieckiD011000.01160—16:48
95M. DucheneC112030.360203016:06
72T. ChabotD000010.05010—15:50
33F. ClaessonD000000.03220—15:38
67B. HarpurD000000.00120—15:17
15Z. SmithC000000.000004414:23
56M. PaajarviL000030.15000—13:46
12M. GaborikR000000.12000—10:11
14A. BurrowsR000000.00202—09:10
40J. O'BrienC000000.040003008:49
89M. McCormickL000020.07000—06:56
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41C. Anderson(W)33312.9392.57+0.5762:41

Season series

OTT leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).