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Coyotes at Avalanche
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
FinalTV FS-A PLUS, ALT·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Utah Mammoth 5-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Richard Panik's goal at 15:09 of the second period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 11% to 27%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 2.4 to 1.9; shots on goal were ARI 28, COL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 3.1 goals below expected; Jonathan Bernier stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Tyson Barrie (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mikko Rantanen (1 G, 2 A), 3. Carl Soderberg (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    T. Barrie1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    M. Rantanen1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    C. Soderberg1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI11011008228
COLCOL3908214531

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    B. Comeau(11)
    C. Soderberg (18)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:45
  2. ARI
    C. Dvorak(13)
    R. Panik (16), J. Archibald (5)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    2:14
  3. COL
    T. Barrie(10)
    N. MacKinnon (48), M. Rantanen (45)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    2:41
  4. COL
    C. Soderberg(15)
    B. Comeau (17)
    tip-inxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    4:22

2nd period

  1. ARI
    R. Panik(8)
    B. Richardson (10)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    2-3
    15:09

3rd period

  1. COL
    T. Jost(8)PPG
    T. Barrie (36), M. Rantanen (46)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +9 pts
    2-4
    10:45
  2. COL
    M. Rantanen(23)
    N. MacKinnon (49), D. Warsofsky (1)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +2 pts
    2-5
    12:40

Penalties

ARI 29 PIM·COL 27 PIM

1st

  • 5:51ARILaurent Dauphin · Hookingdrawn by Tyson Barrie2 min
  • 14:23COLNathan MacKinnon · Cross checkingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 17:18COLNathan MacKinnon · Roughingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 17:18ARIJordan Martinook · Fightingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon5 min
  • 17:18COLNathan MacKinnon · Fightingdrawn by Jordan Martinook5 min

2nd

  • 6:28ARIBrendan Perlini · High stickingdrawn by Matt Nieto2 min
  • 15:49COLGabriel Landeskog · Hookingdrawn by Richard Panik2 min

3rd

  • 10:10ARIserved by C. Fischer · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 13:54ARIBrendan Perlini · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min
  • 13:54ARIBrendan Perlini · Misconduct10 min
  • 13:54ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson · Slashingdrawn by Sven Andrighetto2 min
  • 13:54ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson · Cross checkingdrawn by Sven Andrighetto2 min
  • 13:54ARIMax Domi · Roughingdrawn by Sven Andrighetto2 min
  • 13:54COLNikita Zadorov · Misconduct10 min
  • 13:54COLNikita Zadorov · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Perlini2 min
  • 13:54COLSven Andrighetto · Roughingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min
  • 15:07COLMikko Rantanen · Trippingdrawn by Brad Richardson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalARI goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Richard Panik, 2nd 15:09 — ARI 11% → 27%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.23M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.09T. Jost · Goal · xG 0.09G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.09B. Comeau · Goal · xG 0.09C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.08A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.08C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.08S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.07T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.06J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.06B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.05T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.05M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.04T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.04S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.04P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.03C. Soderberg · Goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03B. Comeau · Missed · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02D. Siemens · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Yakupov · Missed · xG 0.01C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.01G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.01S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · Goal · xG 0.01A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.00N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.00D. Warsofsky · On goal · xG 0.00C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.00
COL5 G · 1.9 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsCOL
2.42 G
All situations
5 G1.9
1.62 G
Even strength
4 G1.1
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI58%42%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.34 – 1.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsCOL
28
Shots on goal
31
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/3
Power play
1/5
29
Penalty minutes
27
17
Hits
17
13
Blocked shots
11
3
Giveaways
7
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4N. HjalmarssonD000010.07010—22:29
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000010.10314—22:20
55J. DemersD000000.04300—20:40
9C. KellerR000-120.09010—19:53
6J. ChychrunD000040.08020—19:41
15B. RichardsonR011010.302004419:34
14R. PanikR112+160.61200—18:43
25N. CousinsC000010.0120010017:59
21D. StepanC000-120.120304717:55
48J. MartinookL000-110.08215—17:18
44K. ConnautonD000-230.04010—16:49
2L. SchennD000-220.04210—15:17
18C. DvorakC101020.221007514:46
16M. DomiC000-100.00002012:11
45J. ArchibaldR011010.21000—11:28
36C. FischerR000-100.14010—10:08
11B. PerliniL000-110.230014—09:52
12L. DauphinC000-100.000126004:22
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)31265.8391.94-3.0660:00

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).