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NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸6
Utah Mammoth
2
FinalTV FS-A PLUS, ALT2·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Utah Mammoth 6-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Carl Soderberg's goal at 10:20 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.8 to 2.1; shots on goal were COL 28, ARI 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 32 of 34 (.941); Antti Raanta stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Carl Soderberg (2 G), 2. Matt Nieto (1 G, 1 A), 3. J.T. Compher (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    C. Soderberg2 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    M. Nieto1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    J. Compher1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL0134728628
ARIARI01311318234

Scoring

8 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    C. Soderberg(5)
    M. Nieto (7), P. Nemeth (7)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +19 pts
    1-0
    10:20
  2. COL
    J. Compher(6)PPG
    N. Zadorov (5), A. Kerfoot (13)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    2-0
    11:36
  3. COL
    N. Yakupov(8)PPG
    M. Barberio (7)
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    13:26
  4. COL
    M. Nieto(5)
    B. Comeau (8), A. Kerfoot (14)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +4 pts
    4-0
    14:06
  5. ARI
    D. Stepan(7)SHG
    C. Keller (16)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +3 pts
    4-1
    18:12

3rd period

  1. ARI
    D. Stepan(8)SHG
    J. Martinook (5)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +4 pts
    4-2
    8:08
  2. COL
    S. Andrighetto(6)PPG
    T. Jost (3), C. Wilson (5)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +3 pts
    5-2
    8:37
  3. COL
    C. Soderberg(6)
    M. Rantanen (21), M. Barberio (8)
    wristxG 0.18
    6-2
    13:31

Penalties

COL 34 PIM·ARI 40 PIM

1st

  • 12:17COLTyson Jost · Delaying game face off violation2 min
  • 17:05ARIChristian Dvorak · Hookingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min
  • 17:26COLErik Johnson · Interferencedrawn by Brad Richardson2 min
  • 18:03COLGabriel Landeskog · Hookingdrawn by Max Domi2 min

2nd

  • 6:01COLColin Wilson · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
  • 8:52ARIZac Rinaldo · Fightingdrawn by Erik Johnson5 min
  • 8:52COLErik Johnson · Fightingdrawn by Zac Rinaldo5 min
  • 8:52COLErik Johnson · Roughingdrawn by Zac Rinaldo2 min
  • 8:52COLNathan MacKinnon · Fightingdrawn by Josh Archibald5 min
  • 8:52ARIJosh Archibald · Fightingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon5 min
  • 8:52ARIJosh Archibald · Game misconduct10 min
  • 8:52COLNathan MacKinnon · Game misconduct10 min
  • 8:52ARIZac Rinaldo · Match penatly 10 minutesdrawn by Samuel Girard10 min
  • 15:20ARIAnthony Duclair · High sticking double minordrawn by Tyson Jost4 min
  • 19:58COLNikita Zadorov · Roughingdrawn by Kevin Connauton2 min
  • 19:58ARIKevin Connauton · Slashingdrawn by Semyon Varlamov2 min

3rd

  • 2:56COLTyson Jost · Hookingdrawn by Luke Schenn2 min
  • 7:43ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson · Hookingdrawn by Colin Wilson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalCOL goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Carl Soderberg, 2nd 10:20 — COL 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.16O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.14A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.13O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.10J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.08D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.07C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.07T. Rieder · Missed · xG 0.07A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.07T. Rieder · Missed · xG 0.07K. Connauton · Missed · xG 0.07D. Stepan · Goal · xG 0.06J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.06O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.06C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.05J. Demers · On goal · xG 0.05C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.05O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.05C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.05N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.05M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.05A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.04D. Stepan · Goal · xG 0.04J. Demers · On goal · xG 0.03J. Demers · On goal · xG 0.03J. Demers · On goal · xG 0.03B. Richardson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Demers · On goal · xG 0.03M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.03C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.03A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Rinaldo · On goal · xG 0.02D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.02L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Demers · On goal · xG 0.02D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.02K. Connauton · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Rinaldo · On goal · xG 0.02T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.01J. Demers · Missed · xG 0.01C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.00A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.00A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI2 G · 2.1 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsARI
2.86 G
All situations
2 G2.1
2.63 G
Even strength
0 G1.5
0.23 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
2 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL61%39%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.66 – 2.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsARI
28
Shots on goal
34
49%
Faceoffs
51%
3/7
Power play
0/5
34
Penalty minutes
40
15
Hits
21
25
Blocked shots
11
5
Giveaways
4
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
16N. ZadorovD011+350.31332—26:43
6E. JohnsonD000040.12329—22:46
12P. NemethD011+100.000110—21:15
37J. CompherL101-220.300105620:49
44M. BarberioD022+110.02120—20:26
96M. RantanenR011-100.0000010019:45
92G. LandeskogL000-200.00322—18:56
49S. GirardD000-100.02010—17:18
34C. SoderbergC202+220.410006716:38
13A. KerfootC022-100.003102016:24
14B. ComeauL011+140.24010—15:29
10S. AndrighettoR101030.08000—14:02
83M. NietoL112+210.66000—13:00
22C. WilsonC011010.070025011:53
17T. JostC011010.210045010:46
64N. YakupovR101+130.25100—08:57
29N. MacKinnonC000010.1300154208:14
4T. BarrieD000000.00110—02:39
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1S. Varlamov(W)34322.9412.12+0.1260:00

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).