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Florida Panthers at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV FS-F, TSN3·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Florida Panthers 7-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Jets led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Scheifele's goal at 18:29 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 54% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.4 to 2.1; shots on goal were FLA 27, WPG 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. James Reimer stopped 27 of 34 (.794), 3.6 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Blake Wheeler (3 A), 2. Kyle Connor (2 G), 3. Tyler Myers (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    B. Wheeler3 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    K. Connor2 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    T. Myers3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA1121807227
WPGWPG11221547734

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    D. Malgin(10)PPG
    wristxG 0.03win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    8:57
  2. WPG
    K. Connor(20)PPG
    B. Wheeler (49), P. Laine (19)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    12:06

2nd period

  1. WPG
    slapxG 0.01win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    4:39
  2. FLA
    A. Barkov(20)PPG
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    2-2
    7:34
  3. WPG
    snapxG 0.15win prob +21 pts
    2-3
    18:29

3rd period

  1. WPG
    B. Wheeler (51), T. Myers (25)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    2-4
    3:38
  2. WPG
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +5 pts
    2-5
    6:03
  3. WPG
    snapxG 0.16
    2-6
    15:27
  4. WPG
    backhandxG 0.15
    2-7
    18:25

Penalties

FLA 4 PIM·WPG 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:16WPGTyler Myers · Trippingdrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min
  • 11:53FLAMark Pysyk · Boardingdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min

2nd

  • 7:12WPGJack Roslovic · Holdingdrawn by Mark Pysyk2 min
  • 9:28WPGMathieu Perreault · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Petrovic2 min
  • 16:25FLANick Bjugstad · Trippingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min

3rd

  • 10:27WPGDustin Byfuglien · Interferencedrawn by James Reimer2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalFLA goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Mark Scheifele, 2nd 18:29 — WPG 54% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.19M. Perreault · Goal · xG 0.16K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.15P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.15M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.15M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.15B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.15D. Byfuglien · Missed · xG 0.13B. Little · Goal · xG 0.13B. Little · Missed · xG 0.13K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.13M. Hendricks · Missed · xG 0.12B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.12B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.12D. Byfuglien · Missed · xG 0.11M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.11N. Petan · On goal · xG 0.09K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.09B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.08N. Petan · On goal · xG 0.08M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.07D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.07B. Little · Missed · xG 0.06K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.06B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.06T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.05T. Enstrom · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.04J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.04B. Little · Missed · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.03A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.02T. Enstrom · Missed · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.01M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.01M. Hendricks · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.00D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.00T. Enstrom · Missed · xG 0.00A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG7 G · 3.4 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsWPG
2.12 G
All situations
7 G3.4
1.00 G
Even strength
6 G2.7
1.12 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA28%72%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.09 – 3.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsWPG
27
Shots on goal
34
48%
Faceoffs
52%
2/4
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
17
Hits
17
11
Blocked shots
14
15
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD000-310.11000—23:04
3K. YandleD011-240.17010—22:25
16A. BarkovC101-250.550005321:53
19M. MathesonD011-110.03010—21:20
63E. DadonovL011-320.27000—21:08
13M. PysykD000-100.00112—19:23
21V. TrocheckC000-210.084104817:49
27N. BjugstadC011-200.10012017:00
6A. PetrovicD000-310.01120—16:31
11J. HuberdeauL000030.33000—15:44
17D. MacKenzieC000-120.132108013:50
7C. SceviourC000-110.050002013:49
90J. McCannL000-220.143002913:23
62D. MalginC101-120.10100013:12
88J. McGinnL000-210.02210—12:51
52M. WeegarD000-200.02100—12:37
71R. VrbataR000-210.01010—11:21
18M. HaleyL000000.00210—10:27
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Reimer(L)34277.7943.42-3.5860:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).