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Winnipeg Jets at Florida Panthers

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Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Winnipeg Jets 6-4. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Micheal Haley's goal at 9:58 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 52% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 4.1 to 3.5; shots on goal were WPG 39, FLA 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Eric Comrie stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 2.3 goals below expected; James Reimer stopped 35 of 39 (.897). Three stars: 1. Micheal Haley (1 G, 1 A), 2. Derek MacKenzie (2 A), 3. Patrik Laine (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    M. Haley1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    D. MacKenzie2 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    P. Laine1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG29112118439
FLAFLA21511239636

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    snapxG 0.13win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    2:48
  2. FLA
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    3:17
  3. WPG
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    15:13
  4. WPG
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    17:43

2nd period

  1. WPG
    snapxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    3-2
    4:46
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.14win prob +21 pts
    3-3
    15:47

3rd period

  1. FLA
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +18 pts
    3-4
    0:48
  2. WPG
    snapxG 0.10win prob +24 pts
    4-4
    1:51
  3. FLA
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +31 pts
    4-5
    9:58
  4. FLA
    wristxG 0.76win prob +1 pts
    4-6
    19:49

Penalties

WPG 10 PIM·FLA 16 PIM

2nd

  • 2:40FLADryden Hunt · Trippingdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min
  • 3:27FLADerek MacKenzie · Slashingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 9:34WPGBen Chiarot · High stickingdrawn by Jamie McGinn2 min
  • 16:23FLAJared McCann · Hookingdrawn by Bryan Little2 min
  • 17:40WPGDustin Byfuglien · Roughingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 19:53WPGBlake Wheeler · High stickingdrawn by Keith Yandle2 min

3rd

  • 5:38FLAJared McCann · Holding the stickdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min
  • 6:24FLAJonathan Huberdeau · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min
  • 12:16FLAJared McCann · Slashingdrawn by Dmitry Kulikov2 min
  • 15:56FLAMike Matheson · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min
  • 18:09FLAMark Pysyk · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 18:09WPGBrandon Tanev · Slashingdrawn by Mark Pysyk2 min
  • 18:57WPGMathieu Perreault · Trippingdrawn by Keith Yandle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalWPG goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Micheal Haley, 3rd 9:58 — FLA 52% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.76J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.44D. MacKenzie · On goal · xG 0.28D. MacKenzie · On goal · xG 0.14D. Malgin · Goal · xG 0.14M. Pysyk · Goal · xG 0.13V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.11J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.11A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.09J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.09N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.08C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.07J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.07C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.07C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.06N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.06J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.06K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.05N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.05M. Haley · Goal · xG 0.05A. Ekblad · Goal · xG 0.05J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.04J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.04R. Vrbata · On goal · xG 0.04N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.04V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.04R. Vrbata · On goal · xG 0.03N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.03N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.02D. MacKenzie · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pysyk · Missed · xG 0.01J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.00R. Vrbata · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA6 G · 3.5 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsFLA
4.14 G
All situations
5 G3.5
2.23 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
1.91 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG71%29%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.03 – 2.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsFLA
39
Shots on goal
36
61%
Faceoffs
39%
1/7
Power play
2/4
10
Penalty minutes
16
24
Hits
30
8
Blocked shots
12
7
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55M. ScheifeleC000-280.832006125:50
26B. WheelerR101-150.59102—25:41
33D. ByfuglienD011-100.13212—24:48
29P. LaineL123+140.65000—19:23
81K. ConnorL000-240.24100—19:01
44J. MorrisseyD000-230.09000—18:10
57T. MyersD000-110.11010—17:52
8J. TroubaD000+100.00130—17:32
5D. KulikovD000-100.00200—16:35
9A. CoppC000+120.22210015:00
13B. TanevL011+120.33102—14:30
17A. LowryC101+110.113006214:28
27N. EhlersL101+240.54300—13:03
7B. ChiarotD011+210.00102—13:01
18B. LittleC011+210.180007312:54
85M. PerreaultC011-210.00202011:00
40J. ArmiaR000-210.01000—07:30
15M. HendricksC000-210.033206707:15
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1E. Comrie(L)35305.8572.75-2.2558:41

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).