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San Jose Sharks at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV ALT, NBCSCA·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the San Jose Sharks 3-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabriel Bourque's goal at 2:31 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals were close — SJS 2.1, COL 2.1; shots on goal were SJS 39, COL 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 17 of 19 (.895); Jonathan Bernier stopped 38 of 39 (.974), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Bernier (38 saves, .974), 2. Tyson Jost (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nikita Zadorov.

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    J. Bernier38 saves, .974
  2. ★★
    COL
    T. Jost1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. Zadorov

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS014112013139
COLCOL0327110320

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    2:31
  2. COL
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    4:45
  3. SJS
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    13:29

3rd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.43win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    19:56

Penalties

SJS 4 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 14:26COLAnton Lindholm · Interferencedrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min
  • 15:46SJSMikkel Boedker · Holding the stickdrawn by Carl Soderberg2 min

2nd

  • 17:54COLErik Johnson · Interferencedrawn by Logan Couture2 min

3rd

  • 1:35SJSDylan DeMelo · Slashingdrawn by Dominic Toninato2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSJS goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Gabriel Bourque, 2nd 2:31 — COL 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Compher · Goal · xG 0.43E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.25G. Bourque · Goal · xG 0.14C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.13C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.12G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.11G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.10T. Jost · Goal · xG 0.09C. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.08T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.08B. Comeau · Missed · xG 0.07B. Comeau · Missed · xG 0.07D. Toninato · Missed · xG 0.06T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.05D. Toninato · On goal · xG 0.05J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.02E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.02T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.02C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.02B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.02E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Toninato · Missed · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.00B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.00G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.00
COL3 G · 2.1 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsCOL
2.11 G
All situations
2 G2.1
1.51 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS58%42%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 1.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsCOL
39
Shots on goal
20
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
7
Hits
22
12
Blocked shots
21
2
Giveaways
4
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD000-140.14020—30:55
61J. BraunD000+100.00000—21:40
44M. VlasicD011+130.07000—20:34
48T. HertlC000-120.330003320:24
47J. RyanD000010.05210—20:15
50C. TierneyC000-320.170006419:01
39L. CoutureC000-150.150203818:39
62K. LabancR000-130.14000—18:17
8J. PavelskiC000-140.092007517:54
28T. MeierR000030.18010—15:20
27J. DonskoiR000050.2300010014:37
89M. BoedkerL000-130.12102—13:49
4B. DillonD000-200.06120—13:40
68M. KarlssonC000000.12020013:11
65D. O'ReganC000+100.001007511:11
74D. DeMeloD000-220.08022—09:24
23B. GoodrowC011000.00000009:21
42J. WardR101-120.110005009:16
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31M. Jones(L)19172.8951.66-0.3458:32

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).