Skip to content

San Jose Sharks at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV ALT, NBCSCA·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the San Jose Sharks 5-3. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joe Thornton's goal at 4:53 of the third period, which took the Sharks' chances from 7% to 21%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 3.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were SJS 48, COL 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 17 of 22 (.773), 3.0 goals below expected; Jonathan Bernier stopped 45 of 48 (.938). Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (2 G, 1 A), 2. Jonathan Bernier (45 saves, .938), 3. Mikko Rantanen (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    J. Bernier45 saves, .938
  3. ★★★
    COL
    M. Rantanen1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS010117221348
COLCOL391716522

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    7:03
  2. COL
    slapxG 0.06win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    8:01
  3. COL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    18:14

2nd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.02win prob +5 pts
    0-4
    1:34
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.17win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    9:44

3rd period

  1. SJS
    T. Hertl (14), K. Labanc (18)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +6 pts
    2-4
    0:29
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    3-4
    4:53
  3. COL
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +8 pts
    3-5
    16:46

Penalties

SJS 8 PIM·COL 14 PIM

1st

  • 7:29SJSLogan Couture · Trippingdrawn by Carl Soderberg2 min
  • 11:47COLDominic Toninato · Trippingdrawn by Brent Burns2 min
  • 18:47COLNikita Zadorov · Slashingdrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min

2nd

  • 7:44COLAlexander Kerfoot · Interferencedrawn by Joel Ward2 min
  • 11:45SJSJustin Braun · Hookingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 17:26COLErik Johnson · Slashingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min

3rd

  • 1:46SJSJoonas Donskoi · Trippingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
  • 7:35COLPatrik Nemeth · Trippingdrawn by Mikkel Boedker2 min
  • 10:24COLGabriel Landeskog · Interferencedrawn by Joonas Donskoi2 min
  • 13:59SJSBarclay Goodrow · Slashingdrawn by Patrik Nemeth2 min
  • 19:01COLGabriel Landeskog · Slashingdrawn by Kevin Labanc2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSJS goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Joe Thornton, 3rd 4:53 — SJS 7% → 21%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.18N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.15C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.13G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.13C. Soderberg · Goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.11M. Nieto · Goal · xG 0.11J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.09B. Comeau · Missed · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.07E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Barberio · On goal · xG 0.06N. Yakupov · Missed · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.06J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.05G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.05G. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.04E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.04G. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.04P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.04C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.03N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.03P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.03N. Yakupov · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.02C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.02E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.00
COL5 G · 2.1 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsCOL
3.03 G
All situations
5 G2.1
1.03 G
Even strength
4 G1.6
2.00 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS66%34%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.93 – 2.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsCOL
48
Shots on goal
22
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/7
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
14
5
Hits
12
12
Blocked shots
23
4
Giveaways
3
5
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD011070.39000—29:01
8J. PavelskiC011-130.150105622:38
19J. ThorntonC101050.27100022:30
39L. CoutureC000-130.2500210020:45
44M. VlasicD112010.18010—20:03
48T. HertlC011060.711005819:45
50C. TierneyC000020.020005316:59
61J. BraunD000010.01132—16:10
28T. MeierR101040.301005014:43
27J. DonskoiR000+130.19012—14:42
47J. RyanD000-140.08000—14:16
62K. LabancR022070.32000—13:37
4B. DillonD000-110.03110—13:34
74D. DeMeloD000-100.01010—13:19
89M. BoedkerL000-110.05010—11:40
68M. KarlssonC000000.00010011:24
23B. GoodrowC000000.000128611:04
42J. WardR000000.000103311:03
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31M. Jones(L)22175.7732.05-2.9556:15

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).