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Golden Knights at Wild
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
2
Minnesota Wild
▸5
FinalTV NBCSN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Vegas Golden Knights 5-2. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Charlie Coyle's goal at 15:03 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.3 to 1.2; shots on goal were VGK 24, MIN 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Malcolm Subban stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 1.5 goals below expected; Devan Dubnyk stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jonas Brodin (3 A), 2. Eric Staal (2 G, 1 A), 3. Charlie Coyle (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Brodin3 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    E. Staal2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    C. Coyle1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK0815111224
MINMIN21921115535

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    E. Staal(21)PPG
    M. Reilly (8), M. Dumba (18)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    10:05
  2. MIN
    C. Coyle(6)
    J. Brodin (8), J. Eriksson Ek (7)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    15:03

2nd period

  1. MIN
    T. Ennis(7)
    J. Brodin (9)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    1:11
  2. VGK
    E. Haula(20)PPG
    C. Miller (21), D. Perron (32)
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +7 pts
    1-3
    6:19
  3. MIN
    J. Spurgeon(7)PPG
    R. Suter (27), E. Staal (24)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +7 pts
    1-4
    16:08

3rd period

  1. VGK
    N. Schmidt(4)PPG
    D. Perron (33), E. Haula (19)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +1 pts
    2-4
    12:38
  2. MIN
    E. Staal(22)
    M. Dumba (19), J. Brodin (10)
    wristxG 0.78
    2-5
    18:31

Penalties

VGK 13 PIM·MIN 11 PIM

1st

  • 5:22VGKJason Garrison · Trippingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 8:19VGKShea Theodore · Hookingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

2nd

  • 5:15MINNino Niederreiter · Hookingdrawn by James Neal2 min
  • 14:17VGKJames Neal · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Ennis2 min
  • 19:27VGKRyan Carpenter · Fightingdrawn by Mathew Dumba5 min
  • 19:27MINMathew Dumba · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Carpenter5 min

3rd

  • 3:28VGKShea Theodore · High stickingdrawn by Mike Reilly2 min
  • 5:34MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Elbowingdrawn by Colin Miller2 min
  • 12:01MINMike Reilly · Hookingdrawn by William Carrier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalVGK goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Charlie Coyle, 1st 15:03 — MIN 67% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Staal · Goal · xG 0.78J. Spurgeon · Goal · xG 0.24Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.13J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.13N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.13J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.11J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.11J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.11Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.11N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.10J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.10M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.10E. Staal · Goal · xG 0.09J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.08E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.07J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.05J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.05M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.04J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.04J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.03M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.03M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.03N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.03M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.03T. Ennis · Goal · xG 0.03M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.03M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.02N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.02M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.02C. Coyle · Goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.02M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02M. Cullen · Missed · xG 0.02M. Cullen · Missed · xG 0.01J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.01C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.01C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.01M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.01N. Prosser · On goal · xG 0.01C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.01C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.01M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.00C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN5 G · 3.3 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsMIN
1.22 G
All situations
5 G3.3
0.80 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.42 G
Power play
2 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK24%76%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.15 – 2.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsMIN
24
Shots on goal
35
48%
Faceoffs
52%
2/3
Power play
2/4
13
Penalty minutes
11
18
Hits
13
15
Blocked shots
14
1
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5D. EngellandD000-110.02030—23:00
6C. MillerD011020.07200—20:57
88N. SchmidtD101-120.15120—20:43
27S. TheodoreD000-250.07004—20:30
3B. McNabbD000-100.02210—18:57
71W. KarlssonC000010.070206418:44
19R. SmithR000020.10000—16:50
81J. MarchessaultR000030.041001416:27
57D. PerronL022-320.081105016:04
56E. HaulaL112-310.121006415:52
18J. NealL000-300.00002—15:30
89A. TuchR000-120.161005014:51
7J. GarrisonD000000.00022—14:40
41P. BellemareL000030.130104014:10
24O. LindbergL000-100.01100—12:33
21C. EakinC000000.070303611:53
40R. CarpenterC000000.001056711:51
28W. CarrierL000000.04700—10:32
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Subban(L)35314.8862.48-1.5258:19

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).