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Golden Knights at Wild
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
2
Minnesota Wild
▸4
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, FS-N·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Wild led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Eric Staal's goal at 12:05 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 52% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.4 to 2.1; shots on goal were VGK 31, MIN 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Malcolm Subban stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.9 goals below expected; Devan Dubnyk stopped 29 of 31 (.935). Three stars: 1. Devan Dubnyk (29 saves, .935), 2. Eric Staal (2 G), 3. Mathew Dumba (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    D. Dubnyk29 saves, .935
  2. ★★
    MIN
    E. Staal2 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Dumba1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK01101129231
MINMIN01211337432

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Granlund(6)
    M. Reilly (7), J. Zucker (8)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +21 pts
    0-1
    17:01

3rd period

  1. VGK
    B. McNabb(1)
    S. Matteau (1)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +24 pts
    1-1
    2:42
  2. VGK
    J. Marchessault(9)
    W. Karlsson (10)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +27 pts
    2-1
    4:39
  3. MIN
    J. Brodin(2)
    D. Winnik (5), C. Coyle (5)
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +28 pts
    2-2
    5:27
  4. MIN
    E. Staal(9)
    M. Dumba (10)
    wristxG 0.36win prob +34 pts
    2-3
    12:05
  5. MIN
    E. Staal(10)EN
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.36win prob +2 pts
    2-4
    19:54

Penalties

VGK 4 PIM·MIN 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:51MINGustav Olofsson · Trippingdrawn by Stefan Matteau2 min
  • 6:45VGKJames Neal · Slashingdrawn by Gustav Olofsson2 min
  • 17:02MINCharlie Coyle · Interferencedrawn by Cody Eakin2 min

2nd

  • 13:21MINTyler Ennis · High stickingdrawn by Nate Schmidt2 min

3rd

  • 7:59VGKDeryk Engelland · High stickingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalVGK goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Eric Staal, 3rd 12:05 — MIN 52% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Staal · Goal · xG 0.36E. Staal · Goal · xG 0.36M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.18M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.12N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.12N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.12J. Brodin · Goal · xG 0.08N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.07M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.07N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.07M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.06R. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.06M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.06E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.05C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.05M. Koivu · Missed · xG 0.04E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.04R. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.04M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.04M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.04M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.03E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.03R. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.03J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.03J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.03M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02M. Granlund · Goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.02T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.02R. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.01M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.00N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.00C. Stewart · On goal · xG 0.00J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.00R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 2.4 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsMIN
2.12 G
All situations
3 G2.4
1.62 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK51%49%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.11 – 2.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsMIN
31
Shots on goal
32
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
6
Hits
9
12
Blocked shots
18
4
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88N. SchmidtD000-120.08010—23:49
71W. KarlssonC011020.240107520:44
6C. MillerD000010.02200—20:26
27S. TheodoreD000-210.06010—19:59
3B. McNabbD101+130.13010—19:22
47L. SbisaD000000.00220—19:08
19R. SmithR000020.11000—18:39
81J. MarchessaultR101-160.230102018:16
89A. TuchR000020.19010—18:05
18J. NealL000-110.20002—17:51
56E. HaulaL000000.000005316:00
5D. EngellandD000-210.01122—14:33
13B. LeipsicL000-230.30010—14:17
21C. EakinC000-200.000105313:32
24O. LindbergL000-210.0110010012:23
41P. BellemareL000030.260002010:56
92T. NosekL000030.13000—10:42
25S. MatteauC011+100.14000008:39
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Subban(L)31283.9032.06-0.9458:39

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).