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Los Angeles Kings at Nashville Predators

FinalTV NBCSN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Los Angeles Kings 5-0. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Filip Forsberg's goal at 16:02 of the first period, which took the Predators' chances from 70% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.4 to 1.2; shots on goal were LAK 19, NSH 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 86% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 31 of 36 (.861), 1.6 goals below expected; Pekka Rinne stopped 19 of 19 (1.000), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Pekka Rinne (19 saves, 1.000), 2. Filip Forsberg (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ryan Johansen (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    P. Rinne19 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    R. Johansen3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK070804019
NSHNSH31519112536

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    C. Smith(16)PPG
    wristxG 0.14win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    10:02
  2. NSH
    wristxG 0.20win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    16:02
  3. NSH
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    17:21

2nd period

  1. NSH
    wristxG 0.19win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    11:01

3rd period

  1. NSH
    wristxG 0.03
    0-5
    9:44

Penalties

LAK 6 PIM·NSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:27NSHYannick Weber · Interferencedrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min
  • 9:56LAKKyle Clifford · Roughingdrawn by Scott Hartnell2 min
  • 14:56LAKTorrey Mitchell · Holdingdrawn by Alexei Emelin2 min
  • 15:01LAKDrew Doughty · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 11:20NSHMattias Ekholm · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalLAK goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Filip Forsberg, 1st 16:02 — NSH 70% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.23C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.21F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.21C. Sissons · Goal · xG 0.19V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.17A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.16C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.16K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.15C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.14K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.13V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.13K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.13R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.12C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.11P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.10K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.09S. Hartnell · On goal · xG 0.08C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.07K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.07C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.06V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.06K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.05C. Jarnkrok · Goal · xG 0.05R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.05R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.03V. Arvidsson · Goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02S. Hartnell · On goal · xG 0.02A. Emelin · Missed · xG 0.02K. Turris · Missed · xG 0.02Y. Weber · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.01M. Salomaki · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.01P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH5 G · 3.4 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsNSH
1.20 G
All situations
5 G3.4
1.10 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.10 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK14%86%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.19 – 3.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsNSH
19
Shots on goal
36
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
11
12
Blocked shots
19
18
Giveaways
11
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000-220.18112—25:58
6J. MuzzinD000-110.01130—21:38
24D. ForbortD000-100.00110—20:34
5C. FolinD000-100.00100—19:58
11A. KopitarC000-210.200105018:57
23D. BrownR000-120.07000—17:10
53K. GravelD000-100.01310—17:02
70T. PearsonL000-130.17120—16:54
9A. KempeR000-110.140003114:57
27A. MartinezD000010.05020—14:54
12M. GaborikR000020.10000—14:32
73T. ToffoliC000-200.0000010014:23
13K. CliffordL000010.01302—13:59
22T. LewisC000030.040105013:58
19A. IafalloL000-200.00200—13:22
15A. AndreoffC000010.102002513:07
21N. ShoreC000000.002007312:50
71T. MitchellC000010.120028012:35
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(L)36315.8613.43-1.5760:00

Season series

NSH leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).