Skip to content
Predators at Kings
NHL

Nashville Predators at Los Angeles Kings

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸4
Los Angeles Kings
3
FinalTV FS-TN, FS-W·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-3. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Scott Hartnell's goal at 11:53 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 2.6 to 1.8; shots on goal were NSH 20, LAK 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Pekka Rinne stopped 26 of 29 (.897); Jonathan Quick stopped 16 of 20 (.800), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Austin Watson (2 G), 2. Tyler Toffoli (1 G), 3. P.K. Subban (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    A. Watson2 G
  2. ★★
    LAK
    T. Toffoli1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    P. Subban2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH192615420
LAKLAK07111211329

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    R. Josi(8)PPG
    K. Turris (20), P. Subban (21)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    15:08

2nd period

  1. LAK
    A. Kempe(13)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.11win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    6:43
  2. NSH
    S. Hartnell(6)
    R. Johansen (20), A. Emelin (7)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +20 pts
    2-1
    11:53
  3. NSH
    A. Watson(4)
    P. Subban (22), M. Salomaki (4)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    16:49

3rd period

  1. LAK
    T. Lewis(10)
    A. Iafallo (9), N. Shore (9)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    3:56
  2. NSH
    A. Watson(5)
    R. Ellis (1), C. Jarnkrok (11)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    4-2
    5:05
  3. LAK
    T. Toffoli(18)PPG
    T. Pearson (17), A. Kopitar (27)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    4-3
    8:24

Penalties

NSH 10 PIM·LAK 12 PIM

1st

  • 4:58NSHRoman Josi · Interferencedrawn by Torrey Mitchell2 min
  • 11:27LAKDrew Doughty · Interferencedrawn by Pontus Aberg2 min
  • 11:27LAKDrew Doughty · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 11:42LAKDustin Brown · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Turris2 min
  • 15:50NSHP.K. Subban · Slashingdrawn by Marian Gaborik2 min
  • 15:50LAKMarian Gaborik · Slashingdrawn by P.K. Subban2 min
  • 19:27NSHViktor Arvidsson · Slashingdrawn by Jonny Brodzinski2 min

2nd

  • 3:45LAKKurtis MacDermid · Trippingdrawn by Colton Sissons2 min
  • 8:07NSHPontus Aberg · Boardingdrawn by Jonny Brodzinski2 min
  • 8:55LAKTanner Pearson · Holdingdrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min

3rd

  • 7:18NSHRyan Ellis · Holdingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalNSH goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Scott Hartnell, 2nd 11:53 — NSH 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.26A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.19D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.17D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.14D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.14A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.13T. Lewis · Goal · xG 0.13A. Kempe · Goal · xG 0.11T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.11T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.10D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.10K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.09T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.08T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.08K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.08T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.08D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.06T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.05T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.03A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.03T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.03M. Gaborik · Missed · xG 0.03T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.03D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.02D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.02A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.02D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.01D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.01N. Shore · On goal · xG 0.01N. Shore · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01K. Gravel · On goal · xG 0.01T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.00J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.00K. Gravel · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK3 G · 2.6 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsLAK
1.84 G
All situations
3 G2.6
1.23 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH35%65%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.80 – 2.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsLAK
20
Shots on goal
29
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/5
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
12
24
Hits
34
13
Blocked shots
13
10
Giveaways
6
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
76P. SubbanD022010.07122—26:06
14M. EkholmD000+110.04210—23:30
59R. JosiD101+130.25022—22:00
10C. SissonsC000000.182104618:56
4R. EllisD011+120.24122—18:43
92R. JohansenC011+130.343107518:17
8K. TurrisC011-100.090004216:34
22K. FialaL000-120.23100—16:07
15C. SmithC000-110.071005015:57
25A. EmelinD011000.00310—15:10
51A. WatsonL202+230.18300—15:02
13N. BoninoC000-120.020204414:46
33V. ArvidssonL000000.00202—14:16
19C. JarnkrokC011+200.000105014:03
7Y. WeberD000-100.00300—13:54
20M. SalomakiR011+200.00200—10:41
17S. HartnellL101020.10000—08:43
46P. AbergL000000.00002—08:11
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35P. Rinne(W)29263.8972.63-0.3760:00

Season series

NSH leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).