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Sabres at Flames
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸2
Calgary Flames
1
Final/OTTV MSG-B, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Calgary Flames 2-1 in overtime, Jack Eichel scoring at 1:30. The Flames scored first; the Sabres answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Eichel's goal at 1:30 of overtime, which took the Sabres' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 3.1 to 1.8; shots on goal were BUF 33, CGY 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Chad Johnson stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Mike Smith stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Chad Johnson (32 saves, .970), 2. Mike Smith (31 saves, .939), 3. Jack Eichel (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    C. Johnson32 saves, .970
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Smith31 saves, .939
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    J. Eichel1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
BUFBUF1120801112233
CGYCGY1130120800133

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(14)PPG
    J. Gaudreau (40), M. Giordano (14)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    8:00
  2. BUF
    S. Wilson(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    8:24

Overtime

  1. BUF
    J. Eichel(19)
    R. Ristolainen (16), R. O'Reilly (20)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +51 pts
    2-1
    1:30

Penalties

BUF 11 PIM·CGY 11 PIM

1st

  • 3:11CGYCurtis Lazar · Fightingdrawn by Nathan Beaulieu5 min
  • 3:11BUFNathan Beaulieu · Fightingdrawn by Curtis Lazar5 min
  • 6:51BUFJake McCabe · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 13:27BUFKyle Okposo · Slashingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 16:47BUFNick Baptiste · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Mike Smith2 min

2nd

  • 17:46CGYDougie Hamilton · Interferencedrawn by Zemgus Girgensons2 min

3rd

  • 15:46CGYMichael Stone · Interferencedrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
  • 19:27CGYMikael Backlund · Holding the stickdrawn by Zemgus Girgensons2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalBUF goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Jack Eichel, OT 1:30 — BUF 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.13M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.09J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.09G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.09M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.09M. Stajan · On goal · xG 0.08M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.08S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.07T. Brouwer · Missed · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.07G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.07M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.06D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.05B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.04J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.02B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.01C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.00M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY1 G · 1.8 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsCGY
3.12 G
All situations
1 G1.8
2.32 G
Even strength
0 G1.3
0.90 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF74%26%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.09 – 1.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsCGY
33
Shots on goal
33
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
11
14
Hits
18
19
Blocked shots
16
11
Giveaways
15
3
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55R. RistolainenD011+120.17310—32:26
19J. McCabeD000+100.04222—25:20
6M. ScandellaD000020.02020—24:52
15J. EichelC101+170.520003623:16
21K. OkposoR000+120.6401210021:51
90R. O'ReillyC011+230.290106518:19
41J. FalkD000+120.03420—18:08
28Z. GirgensonsC000010.0800010017:52
8C. NelsonD000000.00010—16:21
20S. WilsonC101+130.12200014:50
23S. ReinhartC000+110.32010014:45
22J. LarssonL000020.080204013:50
9E. KaneL000010.43030—13:33
29J. PominvilleR000010.01020—12:36
71E. RodriguesC000000.00110011:37
13N. BaptisteR000040.26102—10:00
17J. NolanC000020.14100010:00
82N. BeaulieuD000000.00005—01:15
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Johnson(W)33321.9701.76+0.7661:30

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).