Pittsburgh Penguins at Anaheim Ducks
Recap
written from the game dataThe Anaheim Ducks beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-3. The Penguins scored first; the Ducks answered. The Ducks led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Henrique's goal at 5:42 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.7 to 3.3; shots on goal were PIT 33, ANA 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.0 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Cam Fowler (1 A), 2. Ondrej Kase (1 G, 1 A), 3. Phil Kessel (1 G, 1 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
1-018:26
2nd period
1-14:17
1-25:42
1-39:24
1-418:28
3rd period
2-48:35
3-414:06
3-519:59
Penalties
1st
- 5:47
Phil Kessel · Slashingdrawn by Ondrej Kase2 min
- 8:32
Evgeni Malkin · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
- 8:32
Brandon Montour · Slashingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
- 10:04
Hampus Lindholm · Cross checkingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
2nd
- 1:25
Justin Schultz · Hookingdrawn by Ondrej Kase2 min
- 8:15
Jared Boll · Slashingdrawn by Matt Hunwick2 min
- 19:17
Kris Letang · Embellishmentdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
- 19:17
Rickard Rakell · Hookingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
3rd
- 8:09
Corey Perry · Interferencedrawn by Kris Letang2 min
- 13:23
Evgeni Malkin · Roughingdrawn by Kevin Bieksa2 min
- 13:23
Kevin Bieksa · Hookingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
- 13:23
Kevin Bieksa · Slashingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Adam Henrique, 2nd 5:42 — 53% → 70%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.33 G
- All situations
- 4 G3.7
- 2.51 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.1
- 0.82 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.5
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 1 G0.4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.26 – 2.87
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 33
- Shots on goal
- 33
- 40%
- Faceoffs
- 60%
- 2/4
- Power play
- 0/2
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 14
- 21
- Hits
- 16
- 9
- Blocked shots
- 17
- 14
- Giveaways
- 15
- 7
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
ANA leads 2-0
4@
0Final
3@
5this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
