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Pittsburgh Penguins at Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV NBCSN, ATTSN-PT·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-3. The Penguins scored first; the Ducks answered. The Ducks led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Henrique's goal at 5:42 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.7 to 3.3; shots on goal were PIT 33, ANA 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.0 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Cam Fowler (1 A), 2. Ondrej Kase (1 G, 1 A), 3. Phil Kessel (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    C. Fowler1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    O. Kase1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    P. Kessel1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT110011212333
ANAANA01441415533

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    18:26

2nd period

  1. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    4:17
  2. ANA
    wrap-aroundxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    5:42
  3. ANA
    C. Wagner(6)SHG
    wristxG 0.18win prob +17 pts
    1-3
    9:24
  4. ANA
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +7 pts
    1-4
    18:28

3rd period

  1. PIT
    P. Kessel(21)PPG
    snapxG 0.08win prob +3 pts
    2-4
    8:35
  2. PIT
    P. Kessel (33), S. Crosby (32)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +10 pts
    3-4
    14:06
  3. ANA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.60win prob +5 pts
    3-5
    19:59

Penalties

PIT 10 PIM·ANA 14 PIM

1st

  • 5:47PITPhil Kessel · Slashingdrawn by Ondrej Kase2 min
  • 8:32PITEvgeni Malkin · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
  • 8:32ANABrandon Montour · Slashingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 10:04ANAHampus Lindholm · Cross checkingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min

2nd

  • 1:25PITJustin Schultz · Hookingdrawn by Ondrej Kase2 min
  • 8:15ANAJared Boll · Slashingdrawn by Matt Hunwick2 min
  • 19:17PITKris Letang · Embellishmentdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
  • 19:17ANARickard Rakell · Hookingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min

3rd

  • 8:09ANACorey Perry · Interferencedrawn by Kris Letang2 min
  • 13:23PITEvgeni Malkin · Roughingdrawn by Kevin Bieksa2 min
  • 13:23ANAKevin Bieksa · Hookingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 13:23ANAKevin Bieksa · Slashingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalPIT goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Adam Henrique, 2nd 5:42 — ANA 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
H. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.60O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.32C. Wagner · Goal · xG 0.18O. Kase · Missed · xG 0.15J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.14A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.14R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.13R. Kesler · Missed · xG 0.13A. Vermette · On goal · xG 0.12A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.12O. Kase · Goal · xG 0.11A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.11R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.11R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.10J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.10R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.09N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.09C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.09J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.08A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.08C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.08C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.07H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.05F. Beauchemin · On goal · xG 0.05O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.04R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.04C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.04A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.04C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.04R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.03R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.02F. Beauchemin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.01C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.00H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA5 G · 3.7 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsANA
3.33 G
All situations
4 G3.7
2.51 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.82 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT57%43%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.26 – 2.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsANA
33
Shots on goal
33
40%
Faceoffs
60%
2/4
Power play
0/2
10
Penalty minutes
14
21
Hits
16
9
Blocked shots
17
14
Giveaways
15
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD000-320.17202—24:14
87S. CrosbyC022-220.330003822:41
4J. SchultzD011-110.01012—21:00
8B. DumoulinD000-100.00430—19:46
81P. KesselR112-440.35102—19:20
71E. MalkinC101-120.290144018:13
22M. HunwickD000-110.16130—17:59
72P. HornqvistR011-230.53400—17:04
6J. OleksiakD000-120.07100—16:43
3O. MaattaD000030.22300—16:28
15R. SheahanC000-120.260104416:17
59J. GuentzelC101-210.162005015:05
43C. ShearyL000-130.21000—13:36
62C. HagelinL011+140.20000—13:12
12D. SimonC000000.13000011:58
34T. KuhnhacklR000-110.01000—10:59
75R. ReavesR000-110.02300—10:52
41D. SprongR000010.18000—08:33
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(L)32284.8752.96-1.0458:00

Season series

ANA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).