Ducks at Penguins 4-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Anaheim Ducks

▸4

Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV ATTSN-PT, FS-W·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-0. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rickard Rakell's goal at 10:35 of the first period, which took the Ducks' chances from 60% to 75%. Expected goals were close — ANA 1.8, PIT 2.0; shots on goal were ANA 23, PIT 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. John Gibson stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 9 of 10 (.900). Three stars: 1. John Gibson (29 saves, 1.000), 2. Rickard Rakell (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ondrej Kase (1 G).

Three stars

★
J. Gibson29 saves, 1.000
★★
R. Rakell1 G, 1 A
★★★
O. Kase1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
ANA	211	26	06	423
PIT	09	013	07	029

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

O. Kase(9)
Unassisted
backhandxG 0.25win prob +12 pts
1-0
3:10
R. Rakell(10)
R. Getzlaf (14)
backhandxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
2-0
10:35

2nd period

A. Cogliano(5)SHG
B. Montour (12)
wristxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
3-0
3:42
C. Fowler(4)PPG
R. Rakell (14), J. Silfverberg (7)
snapxG 0.18win prob +2 pts
4-0
19:56

Penalties

6 PIM·

6 PIM

2nd

2:51Hampus Lindholm · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan Reaves2 min
10:57Ryan Getzlaf · Interferencedrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
18:42Brian Dumoulin · Holdingdrawn by Ondrej Kase2 min

3rd

5:34Hampus Lindholm · Holdingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
5:34Bryan Rust · Holdingdrawn by Hampus Lindholm2 min
15:42Patric Hornqvist · Trippingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: PIT

Biggest swing: Rickard Rakell, 1st 10:35 — ANA 60% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 2.0 xG · 43 att

←

attacks

attacks →

4 G · 1.8 xG · 32 att PIT

0 G · 2.0 xG · 43 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

1.84 G
All situations: 0 G2.0; 1.22 G
Even strength: 0 G1.6; 0.21 G
Power play: 0 G0.3; 0.41 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

45%55%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.81 – 2.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

23
Shots on goal: 29; 37%
Faceoffs: 63%; 1/2
Power play: 0/2; 6
Penalty minutes: 6; 20
Hits: 28; 13
Blocked shots: 10; 4
Giveaways: 13; 9
Takeaways: 5

Box score

every player line

Anaheim Ducks skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
4C. FowlerD	1	0	1	+1	2	0.20	1	1	0	—	23:22
26B. MontourD	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	2	0	0	—	20:41
33J. SilfverbergR	0	1	1	+1	1	0.25	0	0	0	—	20:33
47H. LindholmD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	0	2	4	—	19:33
3K. BieksaD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	1	1	0	—	19:18
15R. GetzlafC	0	1	1	+2	3	0.12	3	0	2	50	19:10
42J. MansonD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	—	18:26
7A. CoglianoC	1	0	1	+1	2	0.23	2	1	0	100	18:23
14A. HenriqueC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	24	18:21
23F. BeaucheminD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.07	1	3	0	—	18:06
67R. RakellR	1	1	2	+2	4	0.20	2	0	0	67	17:38
25O. KaseR	1	0	1	+2	5	0.52	0	1	0	—	16:04
37N. RitchieL	0	0	0	0	0	0.12	2	1	0	—	12:14
50A. VermetteC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	40	11:54
63K. RoyC	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	0	0	0	11:07
38D. GrantC	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	0	25	11:05
21C. WagnerR	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	—	09:03
48L. ShawR	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	—	09:02

Anaheim Ducks goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
36J. Gibson(W)	29	29	0	1.000	2.05	+2.05	60:00

Season series

ANA leads 2-0

Dec 234@0this game
Jan 173@5Final

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Anaheim Ducks at Pittsburgh Penguins

1st period

2nd period

2nd

3rd

Box score