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Anaheim Ducks at New York Islanders

Final/OTTV MSG+, PRIME·Barclays Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the New York Islanders 5-4 in overtime, Hampus Lindholm scoring at 4:03. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Ducks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Hampus Lindholm's goal at 4:03 of overtime, which took the Ducks' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 4.0 to 2.2; shots on goal were ANA 40, NYI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Ryan Miller stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.8 goals below expected; Jaroslav Halak stopped 35 of 40 (.875), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Hampus Lindholm (3 G), 2. John Tavares (2 G, 1 A), 3. Ryan Getzlaf (4 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    H. Lindholm3 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    J. Tavares2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    R. Getzlaf4 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ANAANA21111511311540
NYINYI052921002426

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    8:09
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.18win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    9:54

2nd period

  1. NYI
    M. Barzal(9)PPG
    snapxG 0.22win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    5:39
  2. ANA
    slapxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    3-1
    12:36
  3. NYI
    J. Tavares(20)PPG
    J. Bailey (34), M. Barzal (23)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    3-2
    16:59

3rd period

  1. NYI
    J. Bailey (35), N. Leddy (19)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +28 pts
    3-3
    5:44
  2. NYI
    wristxG 0.19win prob +29 pts
    3-4
    7:52
  3. ANA
    wristxG 0.39win prob +42 pts
    4-4
    18:45

Overtime

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.08win prob +51 pts
    5-4
    4:03

Penalties

ANA 8 PIM·NYI 6 PIM

2nd

  • 5:05ANAKevin Roy · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Ladd2 min
  • 5:15ANAKevin Bieksa · High stickingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 11:38ANANick Ritchie · Slashingdrawn by Jaroslav Halak2 min
  • 11:38NYIJaroslav Halak · Roughingdrawn by Nick Ritchie2 min
  • 14:41NYIScott Mayfield · Cross checkingdrawn by Chris Wagner2 min
  • 16:14ANAKevin Roy · Trippingdrawn by Cal Clutterbuck2 min
  • 19:42NYIAndrew Ladd · High stickingdrawn by Hampus Lindholm2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalANA goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Hampus Lindholm, OT 4:03 — ANA 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Barzal · Goal · xG 0.22A. Ladd · Goal · xG 0.19M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.15J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.13S. Bernier · On goal · xG 0.11J. Tavares · Goal · xG 0.10J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.10M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.09J. Chimera · Missed · xG 0.09J. Tavares · Goal · xG 0.09M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.08B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.07T. Hickey · Missed · xG 0.07J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.07B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.06J. Chimera · On goal · xG 0.05J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.05J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.03N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.03S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hickey · Missed · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.02J. Boychuk · Missed · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chimera · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hickey · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chimera · On goal · xG 0.01J. Boychuk · Missed · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.00J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI4 G · 2.2 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsNYI
4.05 G
All situations
4 G2.2
3.25 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.70 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA76%24%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.93 – 2.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsNYI
40
Shots on goal
26
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/2
Power play
2/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
29
Hits
38
17
Blocked shots
17
9
Giveaways
14
7
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD000+120.34110—26:47
15R. GetzlafC044+220.301205224:48
67R. RakellR101+150.7631010024:11
47H. LindholmD303+360.32200—21:55
14A. HenriqueC000010.242305021:17
33J. SilfverbergR000020.3301010020:50
26B. MontourD011+180.25020—20:37
42J. MansonD011+110.04410—19:12
3K. BieksaD000010.02022—16:49
23F. BeaucheminD000-110.00210—15:23
25O. KaseR112020.280105014:44
63K. RoyC000000.18004014:16
7A. CoglianoC011+130.1900010013:52
37N. RitchieL011+220.25512—12:09
38D. GrantC000+110.072006711:34
50A. VermetteC000+110.152006311:06
21C. WagnerR000000.064002508:54
48L. ShawR000020.17110—08:48
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30R. Miller(W)26224.8462.25-1.7563:41

Season series

ANA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).