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Islanders at Ducks
NHL

New York Islanders at Anaheim Ducks

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New York Islanders
2
Anaheim Ducks
▸3
FinalTV MSG+, PRIME·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the New York Islanders 3-2. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rickard Rakell's goal at 8:39 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals were close — NYI 3.5, ANA 3.3; shots on goal were NYI 41, ANA 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Jaroslav Halak stopped 27 of 30 (.900); John Gibson stopped 39 of 41 (.951), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. John Gibson (39 saves, .951), 2. Cam Fowler (1 A), 3. Andrew Cogliano (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    J. Gibson39 saves, .951
  2. ★★
    ANA
    C. Fowler1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    A. Cogliano1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI12101119241
ANAANA1611618330

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    A. Cogliano(2)
    J. Manson (2), R. Getzlaf (1)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:37
  2. NYI
    B. Nelson(1)
    S. Mayfield (1), J. Ho-Sang (2)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    13:09

2nd period

  1. ANA
    R. Rakell(2)
    C. Fowler (1), A. Cogliano (3)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    8:39

3rd period

  1. ANA
    P. Eaves(1)
    J. Manson (3), R. Getzlaf (2)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    5:32
  2. NYI
    B. Nelson(2)
    C. de Haan (1), J. Ho-Sang (3)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    2-3
    7:57

Penalties

NYI 8 PIM·ANA 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:56ANAAntoine Vermette · Slashingdrawn by Thomas Hickey2 min
  • 9:56NYICalvin de Haan · Trippingdrawn by Chris Wagner2 min

2nd

  • 0:33ANACam Fowler · Slashingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 4:25NYIScott Mayfield · Elbowingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 8:45NYIJoshua Ho-Sang · Hookingdrawn by Patrick Eaves2 min
  • 13:57ANAAntoine Vermette · Interferencedrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
  • 16:29ANAJared Boll · Illegal check to headdrawn by Thomas Hickey2 min

3rd

  • 2:57ANAJared Boll · Slashingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min
  • 9:32NYIAnthony Beauvillier · Holdingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalNYI goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Rickard Rakell, 2nd 8:39 — ANA 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Vermette · Missed · xG 0.50B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.22A. Cogliano · Goal · xG 0.19R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.14C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.13R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.11R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.11C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.10B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.10R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.09J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.09R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.09C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.09R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.08D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.08C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.07F. Beauchemin · Missed · xG 0.07B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.07J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.07C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.06P. Eaves · Missed · xG 0.06J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.06P. Eaves · Goal · xG 0.05R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.05K. Bieksa · On goal · xG 0.05J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.05C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.04J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.04L. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.04F. Beauchemin · Missed · xG 0.03K. Holzer · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.02R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.02R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.02A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.01A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Bieksa · Missed · xG 0.01P. Eaves · On goal · xG 0.00F. Beauchemin · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA3 G · 3.3 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsANA
3.52 G
All situations
3 G3.3
2.22 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
1.30 G
Power play
0 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI61%39%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.44 – 2.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsANA
41
Shots on goal
30
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/5
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
21
Hits
19
12
Blocked shots
22
14
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
91J. TavaresC000-240.480004422:16
55J. BoychukD000-130.15400—22:11
2N. LeddyD000-120.25330—21:20
27A. LeeL000050.3500010019:41
7J. EberleR000-250.47000—18:22
12J. BaileyR000010.050005018:18
14T. HickeyD000+110.06110—18:13
44C. de HaanD011-100.00212—16:37
16A. LaddL000040.33000—16:19
50A. PelechD000-110.06210—15:25
42S. MayfieldD011+100.03222—15:11
13M. BarzalC000010.111003314:45
53C. CizikasC000-110.093004114:39
29B. NelsonC202+260.720106714:28
66J. Ho-SangR022+220.11002—12:58
72A. BeauvillierR000-130.09102—11:30
86N. KuleminL000000.00120—10:48
25J. ChimeraL000-120.13110—10:25
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41J. Halak(L)30273.9002.80-0.2058:34

Season series

ANA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).