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Predators at Flames
NHL

Nashville Predators at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸2
Calgary Flames
0
FinalTV FS-TN, CBC·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Calgary Flames 2-0. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Johansen's goal at 11:17 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals were close — NSH 3.6, CGY 3.4; shots on goal were NSH 28, CGY 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Pekka Rinne stopped 32 of 32 (1.000), 3.4 goals saved above expected; Mike Smith stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Pekka Rinne (32 saves, 1.000), 2. Mike Smith (26 saves, .929), 3. Kevin Fiala (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    P. Rinne32 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Smith26 saves, .929
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    K. Fiala1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH0621606228
CGYCGY01209011032

Scoring

2 goals

2nd period

  1. NSH
    R. Johansen(4)
    V. Arvidsson (12)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +20 pts
    1-0
    11:17
  2. NSH
    K. Fiala(8)
    K. Turris (19), P. Subban (16)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    19:22

Penalties

NSH 28 PIM·CGY 25 PIM

1st

  • 9:05CGYSam Bennett · Slashingdrawn by Austin Watson2 min
  • 16:53NSHAnthony Bitetto · Cross checkingdrawn by Mark Jankowski2 min

2nd

  • 0:40NSHAustin Watson · Trippingdrawn by Troy Brouwer2 min
  • 5:22CGYMikael Backlund · Holdingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 10:11NSHAustin Watson · Interferencedrawn by Troy Brouwer5 min
  • 10:11CGYTroy Brouwer · Instigatordrawn by Austin Watson2 min
  • 10:11CGYTroy Brouwer · Fightingdrawn by Austin Watson5 min
  • 10:11NSHAustin Watson · Fightingdrawn by Troy Brouwer5 min
  • 10:11CGYTroy Brouwer · Misconduct10 min
  • 10:11NSHAustin Watson · Game misconduct10 min
  • 12:00NSHAnthony Bitetto · Boardingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min

3rd

  • 5:41CGYBrett Kulak · Roughingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min
  • 7:56NSHColton Sissons · High stickingdrawn by Mark Giordano2 min
  • 20:00CGYMatthew Tkachuk · Slashingdrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalNSH goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan Johansen, 2nd 11:17 — NSH 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.32M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.22M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.19M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.15M. Ferland · Missed · xG 0.14M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.13S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.12M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.11J. Jagr · On goal · xG 0.11J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.10M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.10M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.10M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.10M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.09M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.09M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.08M. Frolik · Missed · xG 0.08M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.08T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.07S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.06M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.05M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.05S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.05M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.04M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.03J. Jagr · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03J. Jagr · Missed · xG 0.03M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.02S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.02T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.01S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.00M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY0 G · 3.4 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsCGY
3.62 G
All situations
0 G3.4
2.02 G
Even strength
0 G1.3
0.60 G
Power play
0 G2.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH37%63%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.55 – 3.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsCGY
28
Shots on goal
32
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/3
Power play
0/5
28
Penalty minutes
25
7
Hits
14
19
Blocked shots
13
7
Giveaways
10
12
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14M. EkholmD000+110.03030—25:49
59R. JosiD000+110.05010—25:15
76P. SubbanD011+121.04010—22:46
92R. JohansenC101+130.621204019:44
25A. EmelinD000+140.11220—19:20
9F. ForsbergL000010.06000—17:57
33V. ArvidssonL011+130.43020—17:50
19C. JarnkrokC000000.141105616:34
13N. BoninoC000000.000305015:29
15C. SmithC000+140.41100015:15
8K. TurrisC011+130.250004314:49
22K. FialaL101+130.13010—14:39
10C. SissonsC000000.000024213:38
7Y. WeberD000010.01100—12:31
2A. BitettoD000000.00024—12:08
17S. HartnellL000020.32000—09:09
46P. AbergL000000.0310010008:48
51A. WatsonL000000.010122—05:28
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35P. Rinne(W)323201.0003.41+3.4159:51

Season series

CGY leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).