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Predators at Canucks
NHL

Nashville Predators at Vancouver Canucks

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸7
Vancouver Canucks
1
FinalTV FS-TN, SN·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Vancouver Canucks 7-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Viktor Arvidsson's goal at 14:38 of the first period, which took the Predators' chances from 59% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 4.2 to 2.1; shots on goal were NSH 48, VAN 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Pekka Rinne stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Anders Nilsson stopped 41 of 48 (.854), 2.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Craig Smith (1 G, 2 A), 2. Ryan Johansen (2 A), 3. Filip Forsberg (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    C. Smith1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    R. Johansen2 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH216215317748
VANVAN0611307126

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    P. Subban(5)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:33
  2. NSH
    V. Arvidsson(11)SHG
    R. Johansen (15), R. Josi (14)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    14:38

2nd period

  1. NSH
    P. Subban(6)
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.01win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    3:05
  2. VAN
    A. Burmistrov(2)PPG
    B. Boeser (13), H. Sedin (17)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +9 pts
    3-1
    5:01
  3. NSH
    F. Forsberg(15)PPG
    C. Smith (7), R. Johansen (16)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +8 pts
    4-1
    6:00

3rd period

  1. NSH
    C. Smith(12)
    M. Ekholm (13), K. Fiala (15)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +1 pts
    5-1
    8:48
  2. NSH
    K. Fiala(6)
    K. Turris (17), C. Smith (8)
    wristxG 0.29
    6-1
    11:57
  3. NSH
    C. Jarnkrok(7)
    F. Forsberg (16)
    wristxG 0.13
    7-1
    12:37

Penalties

NSH 30 PIM·VAN 20 PIM

1st

  • 4:15NSHKyle Turris · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Edler2 min
  • 7:45VANTroy Stecher · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 12:43NSHCraig Smith · Holdingdrawn by Troy Stecher2 min

2nd

  • 0:56VANJake Virtanen · High stickingdrawn by Alexei Emelin2 min
  • 4:24NSHMatt Irwin · Holdingdrawn by Loui Eriksson2 min
  • 5:55VANMarkus Granlund · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Turris2 min

3rd

  • 12:48VANJake Virtanen · High stickingdrawn by Alexei Emelin2 min
  • 12:48NSHP.K. Subban · Misconduct10 min
  • 12:48NSHP.K. Subban · Roughingdrawn by Jake Virtanen2 min
  • 12:48VANJake Virtanen · Roughingdrawn by P.K. Subban2 min
  • 12:48NSHScott Hartnell · Misconduct10 min
  • 12:48VANJake Virtanen · Misconduct10 min
  • 13:10NSHRoman Josi · Slashingdrawn by Troy Stecher2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalNSH goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Viktor Arvidsson, 1st 14:38 — NSH 59% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.26D. Sedin · On goal · xG 0.16L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.15T. Vanek · On goal · xG 0.12L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.10B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.10A. Burmistrov · Goal · xG 0.09J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.09H. Sedin · On goal · xG 0.09B. Gaunce · On goal · xG 0.08D. Sedin · Missed · xG 0.08H. Sedin · Missed · xG 0.08L. Eriksson · Missed · xG 0.07J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.07M. Chaput · On goal · xG 0.06A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.05B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.05C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.05B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.05D. Sedin · On goal · xG 0.04B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.04A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pouliot · On goal · xG 0.03M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.03M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.02A. Edler · Missed · xG 0.02M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hutton · Missed · xG 0.02J. Virtanen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01L. Eriksson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hutton · Missed · xG 0.01D. Sedin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN1 G · 2.1 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsVAN
4.27 G
All situations
1 G2.1
3.95 G
Even strength
0 G1.7
0.11 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH82%18%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.21 – 2.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsVAN
48
Shots on goal
26
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/4
Power play
1/4
30
Penalty minutes
20
9
Hits
17
10
Blocked shots
16
3
Giveaways
7
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD011+350.33002—22:25
76P. SubbanD202+240.101212—22:07
14M. EkholmD011+330.14200—20:47
25A. EmelinD000+200.00000—20:01
8K. TurrisC011+220.390027817:11
9F. ForsbergL112+230.16100—17:03
15C. SmithC123+240.390123316:27
92R. JohansenC022+210.101005816:06
46P. AbergL000+240.33110—15:52
52M. IrwinD000+120.09012—15:06
22K. FialaL112+240.48000—15:05
19C. JarnkrokC101+240.350005614:53
7Y. WeberD000+100.00020—14:51
13N. BoninoC000+130.280104014:36
10C. SissonsC000030.420006314:35
33V. ArvidssonL101+130.37010—14:20
51A. WatsonL000030.23200—13:35
17S. HartnellL000+100.081110—08:23
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35P. Rinne(W)26251.9622.09+1.0960:00

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).